Skip to main content
icon for New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner

New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner

icon for New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner

New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner

Polymarket

$12,355 Vol.

Polymarket

$12,355 Vol.

icon for Kelly Ayotte

Kelly Ayotte

$7,918 Vol.

98%

icon for Corey Lewandowski

Corey Lewandowski

$4,437 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding position in the New Hampshire Republican gubernatorial primary, scheduled for September 8, 2026, driven by her 2024 general election victory, statewide name recognition from prior service as U.S. senator and attorney general, and established fundraising edge. The June filing deadline produced only low-visibility challengers Shaun Fife and Bob Wayne McClory, neither of whom has demonstrated meaningful campaign infrastructure or polling support. Earlier speculation around Corey Lewandowski entering the race did not result in a filed candidacy. Trader consensus at 98% reflects the structural advantages of incumbency in a low-competition primary environment. A realistic shift would require a late major development such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected high-profile entry before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,355
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding position in the New Hampshire Republican gubernatorial primary, scheduled for September 8, 2026, driven by her 2024 general election victory, statewide name recognition from prior service as U.S. senator and attorney general, and established fundraising edge. The June filing deadline produced only low-visibility challengers Shaun Fife and Bob Wayne McClory, neither of whom has demonstrated meaningful campaign infrastructure or polling support. Earlier speculation around Corey Lewandowski entering the race did not result in a filed candidacy. Trader consensus at 98% reflects the structural advantages of incumbency in a low-competition primary environment. A realistic shift would require a late major development such as a significant scandal, health issue, or unexpected high-profile entry before the primary.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,355
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Hampshire, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Hampshire Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kelly Ayotte" at 98%, followed by "Corey Lewandowski" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $12.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Kelly Ayotte" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Corey Lewandowski" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Hampshire Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.