**AfD leads recent polling averages at 36% ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, placing it well clear of the incumbent SPD at 29% and smaller parties including the Left at 11-12% and CDU at 9-10%.** Stable survey results from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August show the gap holding around seven points, reflecting sustained voter preferences in the eastern state. The SPD-led coalition with the Left has narrowed its deficit slightly in the most recent readings, yet remains short of overtaking the AfD. All other parties rule out coalitions with the AfD, limiting its path to government formation despite the projected plurality. Traders price the AfD as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of seats based on this consistent polling pattern and the short remaining campaign window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 88%
SPD 13%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$477,983 Vol.
$477,983 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
88%
SPD
13%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 88%
SPD 13%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$477,983 Vol.
$477,983 Vol.
Sep 19, 2026
AfD
$98,805 Vol.
88%
SPD
$99,497 Vol.
13%
Linke
$27,668 Vol.
<1%
FW
$36,709 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Vol.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**AfD leads recent polling averages at 36% ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, placing it well clear of the incumbent SPD at 29% and smaller parties including the Left at 11-12% and CDU at 9-10%.** Stable survey results from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August show the gap holding around seven points, reflecting sustained voter preferences in the eastern state. The SPD-led coalition with the Left has narrowed its deficit slightly in the most recent readings, yet remains short of overtaking the AfD. All other parties rule out coalitions with the AfD, limiting its path to government formation despite the projected plurality. Traders price the AfD as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of seats based on this consistent polling pattern and the short remaining campaign window.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Market Opened: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$477,983End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).**AfD leads recent polling averages at 36% ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, placing it well clear of the incumbent SPD at 29% and smaller parties including the Left at 11-12% and CDU at 9-10%.** Stable survey results from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August show the gap holding around seven points, reflecting sustained voter preferences in the eastern state. The SPD-led coalition with the Left has narrowed its deficit slightly in the most recent readings, yet remains short of overtaking the AfD. All other parties rule out coalitions with the AfD, limiting its path to government formation despite the projected plurality. Traders price the AfD as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of seats based on this consistent polling pattern and the short remaining campaign window.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$477,983End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**AfD leads recent polling averages at 36% ahead of the September 20 Landtag election, placing it well clear of the incumbent SPD at 29% and smaller parties including the Left at 11-12% and CDU at 9-10%.** Stable survey results from INSA and Infratest dimap through mid-August show the gap holding around seven points, reflecting sustained voter preferences in the eastern state. The SPD-led coalition with the Left has narrowed its deficit slightly in the most recent readings, yet remains short of overtaking the AfD. All other parties rule out coalitions with the AfD, limiting its path to government formation despite the projected plurality. Traders price the AfD as the clear frontrunner for the largest share of seats based on this consistent polling pattern and the short remaining campaign window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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