**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 26°C low in Shanghai on September 5, 2026, reflecting consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data.** Current forecasts from sources aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance project overnight minima near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies, with northeast winds at 5–10 m/s and dew points supporting gradual radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30°C. This aligns with late-summer patterns where subtropical high pressure maintains elevated temperatures above the September climatological minimum of ~20°C. Uncertainties remain in microscale variations or brief convective activity that could alter the exact recorded minimum at official stations; fresh model runs or surface observations through the evening could shift outcomes if cloud cover increases or winds weaken more than anticipated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 5?
26°C 94%
25°C 6%
24°C 3.1%
21°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
94%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 94%
25°C 6%
24°C 3.1%
21°C or below <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 5, 2026
21°C or below
$216 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$481 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,067 Vol.
6%
26°C
$3,292 Vol.
94%
27°C
$3,116 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$195 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 26°C low in Shanghai on September 5, 2026, reflecting consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data.** Current forecasts from sources aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance project overnight minima near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies, with northeast winds at 5–10 m/s and dew points supporting gradual radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30°C. This aligns with late-summer patterns where subtropical high pressure maintains elevated temperatures above the September climatological minimum of ~20°C. Uncertainties remain in microscale variations or brief convective activity that could alter the exact recorded minimum at official stations; fresh model runs or surface observations through the evening could shift outcomes if cloud cover increases or winds weaken more than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$9,128End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 26°C low in Shanghai on September 5, 2026, reflecting consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data.** Current forecasts from sources aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance project overnight minima near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies, with northeast winds at 5–10 m/s and dew points supporting gradual radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30°C. This aligns with late-summer patterns where subtropical high pressure maintains elevated temperatures above the September climatological minimum of ~20°C. Uncertainties remain in microscale variations or brief convective activity that could alter the exact recorded minimum at official stations; fresh model runs or surface observations through the evening could shift outcomes if cloud cover increases or winds weaken more than anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,128End Date
Sep 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds heavily favor a 26°C low in Shanghai on September 5, 2026, reflecting consensus from numerical weather prediction models and observational data.** Current forecasts from sources aligned with National Meteorological Center guidance project overnight minima near 24–26°C under partly cloudy skies, with northeast winds at 5–10 m/s and dew points supporting gradual radiative cooling after daytime highs around 30°C. This aligns with late-summer patterns where subtropical high pressure maintains elevated temperatures above the September climatological minimum of ~20°C. Uncertainties remain in microscale variations or brief convective activity that could alter the exact recorded minimum at official stations; fresh model runs or surface observations through the evening could shift outcomes if cloud cover increases or winds weaken more than anticipated.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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