**Trader sentiment centers on model consensus for clear, calm conditions driving overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 19–20°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 8.** High-pressure dominance and light northeasterly winds under mostly clear skies favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs around 28–29°C, with dew points near 15–18°C limiting moisture retention. Multiple forecasts (including Met Office, KMA-aligned runs, and global models) cluster overnight lows in the 18–21°C range, reflecting typical early-September moderation following summer. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud-cover timing, which could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Historical climatology supports this baseline, with September minima often falling in the upper teens to low 20s under similar synoptic patterns. Upcoming model updates and any late adjustments in wind or humidity will be key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 8?
20°C 44%
15°C or below 32%
21°C 32%
16°C 31%
15°C or below
32%
16°C
31%
17°C
31%
18°C
16%
19°C
38%
20°C
44%
21°C
32%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 44%
15°C or below 32%
21°C 32%
16°C 31%
15°C or below
32%
16°C
31%
17°C
31%
18°C
16%
19°C
38%
20°C
44%
21°C
32%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on model consensus for clear, calm conditions driving overnight radiative cooling to a minimum near 19–20°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on September 8.** High-pressure dominance and light northeasterly winds under mostly clear skies favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs around 28–29°C, with dew points near 15–18°C limiting moisture retention. Multiple forecasts (including Met Office, KMA-aligned runs, and global models) cluster overnight lows in the 18–21°C range, reflecting typical early-September moderation following summer. Minor model spread arises from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and cloud-cover timing, which could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Historical climatology supports this baseline, with September minima often falling in the upper teens to low 20s under similar synoptic patterns. Upcoming model updates and any late adjustments in wind or humidity will be key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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