Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a minimum of around 16°C in London on August 8, driven by light winds, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and residual warmth from a preceding high-pressure pattern that has kept overnight temperatures near or above seasonal averages. Typical August minima near 13–14°C reflect stronger clear-sky cooling and Atlantic air incursions, but current steering patterns and higher boundary-layer moisture are suppressing that drop. Traders weigh these variables against potential model shifts in the final 48-hour runs, particularly any increase in cloud cover or wind that could push the low lower or hold it near 15–17°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 8?
Lowest temperature in London on August 8?
16°C 32%
15°C 17%
14°C 13%
13°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
10°C or below
4%
11°C
8%
12°C
5%
13°C
10%
14°C
13%
15°C
24%
16°C
32%
17°C
10%
18°C
7%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
6%
16°C 32%
15°C 17%
14°C 13%
13°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Aug 8, 2026
10°C or below
$10 Vol.
4%
11°C
$10 Vol.
8%
12°C
$0 Vol.
5%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$0 Vol.
13%
15°C
$60 Vol.
24%
16°C
$0 Vol.
32%
17°C
$160 Vol.
10%
18°C
$1 Vol.
7%
19°C
$30 Vol.
2%
20°C or higher
$10 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a minimum of around 16°C in London on August 8, driven by light winds, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and residual warmth from a preceding high-pressure pattern that has kept overnight temperatures near or above seasonal averages. Typical August minima near 13–14°C reflect stronger clear-sky cooling and Atlantic air incursions, but current steering patterns and higher boundary-layer moisture are suppressing that drop. Traders weigh these variables against potential model shifts in the final 48-hour runs, particularly any increase in cloud cover or wind that could push the low lower or hold it near 15–17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$281End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a minimum of around 16°C in London on August 8, driven by light winds, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and residual warmth from a preceding high-pressure pattern that has kept overnight temperatures near or above seasonal averages. Typical August minima near 13–14°C reflect stronger clear-sky cooling and Atlantic air incursions, but current steering patterns and higher boundary-layer moisture are suppressing that drop. Traders weigh these variables against potential model shifts in the final 48-hour runs, particularly any increase in cloud cover or wind that could push the low lower or hold it near 15–17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$281End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a minimum of around 16°C in London on August 8, driven by light winds, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and residual warmth from a preceding high-pressure pattern that has kept overnight temperatures near or above seasonal averages. Typical August minima near 13–14°C reflect stronger clear-sky cooling and Atlantic air incursions, but current steering patterns and higher boundary-layer moisture are suppressing that drop. Traders weigh these variables against potential model shifts in the final 48-hour runs, particularly any increase in cloud cover or wind that could push the low lower or hold it near 15–17°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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