**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources point to an overnight minimum near 55–56°F for Denver on September 18, 2026, as moderating cloud cover, humidity, and light winds limit radiative cooling.** Early-morning readings hovered in the low-to-mid 60s°F before the low, with afternoon highs expected near 82–89°F amid scattered thunderstorm chances. This places the daily minimum in a range where small shifts in timing of clouds, precipitation, or wind can easily move the outcome between the mid-50s and low-60s. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow band of uncertainty: the near-even split between “51°F or below” (~50%) and adjacent buckets around 58–59°F (~49.5%) captures model variability in how effectively the incoming moisture and surface winds suppress the typical clear-night drop. Historical September lows average near 49°F, but current conditions feature above-normal warmth and storm-related mixing that keep probabilities clustered in the upper 50s. Official resolution will rely on verified station data (e.g., Denver International Airport or NWS observations), with any late-evening showers or wind gusts serving as the key variables that could nudge the final minimum a degree or two in either direction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Denver on September 18?
51°F or below 100%
52-53°F 90%
54-55°F 49%
56-57°F 49%
51°F or below
100%
52-53°F
90%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
49%
58-59°F
50%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
51°F or below 100%
52-53°F 90%
54-55°F 49%
56-57°F 49%
51°F or below
100%
52-53°F
90%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
49%
58-59°F
50%
60-61°F
49%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 16, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other sources point to an overnight minimum near 55–56°F for Denver on September 18, 2026, as moderating cloud cover, humidity, and light winds limit radiative cooling.** Early-morning readings hovered in the low-to-mid 60s°F before the low, with afternoon highs expected near 82–89°F amid scattered thunderstorm chances. This places the daily minimum in a range where small shifts in timing of clouds, precipitation, or wind can easily move the outcome between the mid-50s and low-60s. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow band of uncertainty: the near-even split between “51°F or below” (~50%) and adjacent buckets around 58–59°F (~49.5%) captures model variability in how effectively the incoming moisture and surface winds suppress the typical clear-night drop. Historical September lows average near 49°F, but current conditions feature above-normal warmth and storm-related mixing that keep probabilities clustered in the upper 50s. Official resolution will rely on verified station data (e.g., Denver International Airport or NWS observations), with any late-evening showers or wind gusts serving as the key variables that could nudge the final minimum a degree or two in either direction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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