Forecast consensus from multiple models positions September 6 highs in Wuhan near 31–33°C under mostly sunny to clear skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with early-autumn high-pressure patterns following recent stabilization after variable late-August conditions. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensembles show limited spread, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C at 52.5% implied probability, with 32°C and 34°C each near 19.5%. Daytime heating under clear conditions and dew points around 20–22°C favor the upper end of the range, though localized urban effects or minor timing shifts in peak insolation could alter the exact maximum. Updated CMA observations and final model runs on September 6 will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 6?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 6?
33°C 52%
32°C 21%
34°C 20%
31°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
21%
33°C
52%
34°C
20%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 52%
32°C 21%
34°C 20%
31°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
28°C or below
$451 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$160 Vol.
1%
31°C
$215 Vol.
3%
32°C
$1,209 Vol.
21%
33°C
$2,276 Vol.
52%
34°C
$763 Vol.
20%
35°C
$1,372 Vol.
3%
36°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$413 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions September 6 highs in Wuhan near 31–33°C under mostly sunny to clear skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with early-autumn high-pressure patterns following recent stabilization after variable late-August conditions. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensembles show limited spread, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C at 52.5% implied probability, with 32°C and 34°C each near 19.5%. Daytime heating under clear conditions and dew points around 20–22°C favor the upper end of the range, though localized urban effects or minor timing shifts in peak insolation could alter the exact maximum. Updated CMA observations and final model runs on September 6 will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,669End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models positions September 6 highs in Wuhan near 31–33°C under mostly sunny to clear skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with early-autumn high-pressure patterns following recent stabilization after variable late-August conditions. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensembles show limited spread, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C at 52.5% implied probability, with 32°C and 34°C each near 19.5%. Daytime heating under clear conditions and dew points around 20–22°C favor the upper end of the range, though localized urban effects or minor timing shifts in peak insolation could alter the exact maximum. Updated CMA observations and final model runs on September 6 will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,669End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models positions September 6 highs in Wuhan near 31–33°C under mostly sunny to clear skies with light northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk, consistent with early-autumn high-pressure patterns following recent stabilization after variable late-August conditions. Official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance and global ensembles show limited spread, supporting the market’s strong weighting toward 33°C at 52.5% implied probability, with 32°C and 34°C each near 19.5%. Daytime heating under clear conditions and dew points around 20–22°C favor the upper end of the range, though localized urban effects or minor timing shifts in peak insolation could alter the exact maximum. Updated CMA observations and final model runs on September 6 will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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