Recent official forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 19 point to a daytime maximum near 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the seasonal decline from peak summer highs, as regional models show moderating Atlantic-influenced air masses and typical early-autumn steering patterns that limit intensification. Historical September averages hover around 29–31°C, providing a climatological anchor that reinforces trader focus on the narrow 29–31°C band. Minor model variations in cloud cover or sea-breeze timing could nudge the peak by 1°C either way, but no anomalous heat or cooling signals have emerged in the latest runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 19?
30°C 68%
31°C 24%
29°C 11%
32°C <1%
$11,966 Vol.
$11,966 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
11%
30°C
68%
31°C
24%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 68%
31°C 24%
29°C 11%
32°C <1%
$11,966 Vol.
$11,966 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
11%
30°C
68%
31°C
24%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 19 point to a daytime maximum near 30°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and low precipitation chances. This aligns with the seasonal decline from peak summer highs, as regional models show moderating Atlantic-influenced air masses and typical early-autumn steering patterns that limit intensification. Historical September averages hover around 29–31°C, providing a climatological anchor that reinforces trader focus on the narrow 29–31°C band. Minor model variations in cloud cover or sea-breeze timing could nudge the peak by 1°C either way, but no anomalous heat or cooling signals have emerged in the latest runs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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