**Recent official and model forecasts position 31°C as the most probable high for Shenzhen on September 6, with 30–32°C ranges dominating trader consensus.** Persistent cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rain, and high humidity from lingering monsoon influences and prior tropical circulation are limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maxima near the recent 30–31°C baseline observed on September 5. Coastal sea-breeze effects and widespread precipitation further suppress peaks, consistent with ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration showing 26–31°C or 26–32°C ranges. With resolution imminent, small shifts in rainfall timing or model consensus on cloud persistence could still move probabilities between the leading 30–32°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
31°C 40%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
29°C 7%
NEW
$17,865 Vol.
NEW
$17,865 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
24%
31°C
40%
32°C
21%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 40%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
29°C 7%
NEW
$17,865 Vol.
NEW
$17,865 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$160 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$155 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$995 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,919 Vol.
1%
29°C
$4,401 Vol.
7%
30°C
$4,988 Vol.
24%
31°C
$1,786 Vol.
40%
32°C
$1,164 Vol.
21%
33°C
$1,297 Vol.
5%
34°C or higher
$876 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model forecasts position 31°C as the most probable high for Shenzhen on September 6, with 30–32°C ranges dominating trader consensus.** Persistent cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rain, and high humidity from lingering monsoon influences and prior tropical circulation are limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maxima near the recent 30–31°C baseline observed on September 5. Coastal sea-breeze effects and widespread precipitation further suppress peaks, consistent with ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration showing 26–31°C or 26–32°C ranges. With resolution imminent, small shifts in rainfall timing or model consensus on cloud persistence could still move probabilities between the leading 30–32°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$17,865End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official and model forecasts position 31°C as the most probable high for Shenzhen on September 6, with 30–32°C ranges dominating trader consensus.** Persistent cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rain, and high humidity from lingering monsoon influences and prior tropical circulation are limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maxima near the recent 30–31°C baseline observed on September 5. Coastal sea-breeze effects and widespread precipitation further suppress peaks, consistent with ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration showing 26–31°C or 26–32°C ranges. With resolution imminent, small shifts in rainfall timing or model consensus on cloud persistence could still move probabilities between the leading 30–32°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,865End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official and model forecasts position 31°C as the most probable high for Shenzhen on September 6, with 30–32°C ranges dominating trader consensus.** Persistent cloud cover, moderate-to-heavy rain, and high humidity from lingering monsoon influences and prior tropical circulation are limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maxima near the recent 30–31°C baseline observed on September 5. Coastal sea-breeze effects and widespread precipitation further suppress peaks, consistent with ensemble guidance from sources like the China Meteorological Administration showing 26–31°C or 26–32°C ranges. With resolution imminent, small shifts in rainfall timing or model consensus on cloud persistence could still move probabilities between the leading 30–32°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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