Current forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Met Office indicate an afternoon high near 33°C for Panama City on August 12, supported by partly sunny conditions and moderate northwest winds. Trader positioning around 32–33°C reflects uncertainty from typical wet-season convective storms, which develop in the afternoon due to high humidity, sea-breeze convergence, and solar heating, often capping temperatures below the 34–35°C clear-sky potential. August climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C with frequent rain, yet recent dry spells and stable steering patterns have allowed slightly elevated readings. Key variables include cloud cover timing and thunderstorm coverage, with updated model runs and local observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 12?
33°C 38%
32°C 32%
34°C 16%
31°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
32%
33°C
38%
34°C
16%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
33°C 38%
32°C 32%
34°C 16%
31°C 13%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
32%
33°C
38%
34°C
16%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models such as those referenced by the Met Office indicate an afternoon high near 33°C for Panama City on August 12, supported by partly sunny conditions and moderate northwest winds. Trader positioning around 32–33°C reflects uncertainty from typical wet-season convective storms, which develop in the afternoon due to high humidity, sea-breeze convergence, and solar heating, often capping temperatures below the 34–35°C clear-sky potential. August climatology shows average highs near 29–30°C with frequent rain, yet recent dry spells and stable steering patterns have allowed slightly elevated readings. Key variables include cloud cover timing and thunderstorm coverage, with updated model runs and local observations likely to refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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