**Official National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for September 6, 2026, indicate a high temperature in the mid-70s for New York City, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under partly sunny skies with a modest chance of showers.** This places the outcome near the boundary between the market's leading 76-77°F and 74-75°F bins. Recent days featured warmer readings in the low-to-mid 80s, but a shift to onshore winds has suppressed daytime heating below the long-term September 6 average high of roughly 79.5°F. Key variables affecting the precise maximum include cloud cover timing, any brief shower activity, and boundary-layer mixing; updated NWS guidance and hourly observations will refine these details before resolution. Traders' closely matched probabilities around these two bins reflect the narrow forecast range and typical uncertainty in pinpointing the exact daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on September 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 6?
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 33%
72-73°F 12%
78-79°F 5%
$46,562 Vol.
$46,562 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 47%
74-75°F 33%
72-73°F 12%
78-79°F 5%
$46,562 Vol.
$46,562 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
65°F or below
$1,041 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$67 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$4,316 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$4,358 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$7,745 Vol.
12%
74-75°F
$8,081 Vol.
33%
76-77°F
$8,578 Vol.
47%
78-79°F
$7,714 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$3,211 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$1,135 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$405 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for September 6, 2026, indicate a high temperature in the mid-70s for New York City, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under partly sunny skies with a modest chance of showers.** This places the outcome near the boundary between the market's leading 76-77°F and 74-75°F bins. Recent days featured warmer readings in the low-to-mid 80s, but a shift to onshore winds has suppressed daytime heating below the long-term September 6 average high of roughly 79.5°F. Key variables affecting the precise maximum include cloud cover timing, any brief shower activity, and boundary-layer mixing; updated NWS guidance and hourly observations will refine these details before resolution. Traders' closely matched probabilities around these two bins reflect the narrow forecast range and typical uncertainty in pinpointing the exact daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volume
$46,562End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for September 6, 2026, indicate a high temperature in the mid-70s for New York City, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under partly sunny skies with a modest chance of showers.** This places the outcome near the boundary between the market's leading 76-77°F and 74-75°F bins. Recent days featured warmer readings in the low-to-mid 80s, but a shift to onshore winds has suppressed daytime heating below the long-term September 6 average high of roughly 79.5°F. Key variables affecting the precise maximum include cloud cover timing, any brief shower activity, and boundary-layer mixing; updated NWS guidance and hourly observations will refine these details before resolution. Traders' closely matched probabilities around these two bins reflect the narrow forecast range and typical uncertainty in pinpointing the exact daily peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$46,562End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for September 6, 2026, indicate a high temperature in the mid-70s for New York City, driven by northeasterly flow advecting cooler maritime air under partly sunny skies with a modest chance of showers.** This places the outcome near the boundary between the market's leading 76-77°F and 74-75°F bins. Recent days featured warmer readings in the low-to-mid 80s, but a shift to onshore winds has suppressed daytime heating below the long-term September 6 average high of roughly 79.5°F. Key variables affecting the precise maximum include cloud cover timing, any brief shower activity, and boundary-layer mixing; updated NWS guidance and hourly observations will refine these details before resolution. Traders' closely matched probabilities around these two bins reflect the narrow forecast range and typical uncertainty in pinpointing the exact daily peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions