Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 6 project a daily high near 88–89°F amid partly sunny skies and showers or thunderstorms likely during the afternoon. These convective patterns, driven by high atmospheric moisture and daytime heating over the warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, typically limit peak temperatures by enhancing cloud cover and rainfall. Recent weeks of above-average heat, including July 2026 ranking as Miami’s second-hottest on record, have kept trader focus on the upper end of the normal August range (climatological average high near 87–88°F). The strong market weighting toward 88–89°F reflects consensus around NWS guidance and historical analogs for early-August conditions with easterly flow and moderate instability. Updated model runs and local observations will refine expectations before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 6?
88-89°F 53%
86-87°F 24%
90-91°F 21%
84-85°F 3.3%
NEW
$30,931 Vol.
NEW
$30,931 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
24%
88-89°F
53%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 53%
86-87°F 24%
90-91°F 21%
84-85°F 3.3%
NEW
$30,931 Vol.
NEW
$30,931 Vol.
Aug 6, 2026
77°F or below
$301 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$521 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$523 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,440 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$3,869 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$3,283 Vol.
24%
88-89°F
$9,399 Vol.
53%
90-91°F
$4,131 Vol.
21%
92-93°F
$2,704 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$1,249 Vol.
1%
96°F or higher
$2,513 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 6 project a daily high near 88–89°F amid partly sunny skies and showers or thunderstorms likely during the afternoon. These convective patterns, driven by high atmospheric moisture and daytime heating over the warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, typically limit peak temperatures by enhancing cloud cover and rainfall. Recent weeks of above-average heat, including July 2026 ranking as Miami’s second-hottest on record, have kept trader focus on the upper end of the normal August range (climatological average high near 87–88°F). The strong market weighting toward 88–89°F reflects consensus around NWS guidance and historical analogs for early-August conditions with easterly flow and moderate instability. Updated model runs and local observations will refine expectations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$30,931End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 6 project a daily high near 88–89°F amid partly sunny skies and showers or thunderstorms likely during the afternoon. These convective patterns, driven by high atmospheric moisture and daytime heating over the warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, typically limit peak temperatures by enhancing cloud cover and rainfall. Recent weeks of above-average heat, including July 2026 ranking as Miami’s second-hottest on record, have kept trader focus on the upper end of the normal August range (climatological average high near 87–88°F). The strong market weighting toward 88–89°F reflects consensus around NWS guidance and historical analogs for early-August conditions with easterly flow and moderate instability. Updated model runs and local observations will refine expectations before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,931End Date
Aug 6, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on August 6 project a daily high near 88–89°F amid partly sunny skies and showers or thunderstorms likely during the afternoon. These convective patterns, driven by high atmospheric moisture and daytime heating over the warm Atlantic and Gulf waters, typically limit peak temperatures by enhancing cloud cover and rainfall. Recent weeks of above-average heat, including July 2026 ranking as Miami’s second-hottest on record, have kept trader focus on the upper end of the normal August range (climatological average high near 87–88°F). The strong market weighting toward 88–89°F reflects consensus around NWS guidance and historical analogs for early-August conditions with easterly flow and moderate instability. Updated model runs and local observations will refine expectations before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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