Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office project a daytime high near 25–26°C for Mexico City on August 13, aligning with the seasonal average of about 24°C driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which suppresses extreme heat. Afternoon convective showers typical of the North American monsoon season introduce cooling and cloud cover that limit warming, while recent early-August observations show highs mostly between 24–26°C with occasional peaks near 29°C under clearer skies. Trader sentiment clusters on 25–26°C outcomes because model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability and low odds of strong high-pressure ridging that would push temperatures to 27°C or above. Updated guidance expected from regional meteorological services over the next 24 hours will refine precipitation timing and thus final maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 13?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 13?
26°C 44%
25°C 34%
27°C 14%
24°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
34%
26°C
44%
27°C
14%
28°C
2%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 44%
25°C 34%
27°C 14%
24°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
19°C or below
$163 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$161 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$28 Vol.
2%
23°C
$127 Vol.
4%
24°C
$211 Vol.
8%
25°C
$133 Vol.
34%
26°C
$969 Vol.
44%
27°C
$122 Vol.
14%
28°C
$28 Vol.
2%
29°C or higher
$78 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office project a daytime high near 25–26°C for Mexico City on August 13, aligning with the seasonal average of about 24°C driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which suppresses extreme heat. Afternoon convective showers typical of the North American monsoon season introduce cooling and cloud cover that limit warming, while recent early-August observations show highs mostly between 24–26°C with occasional peaks near 29°C under clearer skies. Trader sentiment clusters on 25–26°C outcomes because model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability and low odds of strong high-pressure ridging that would push temperatures to 27°C or above. Updated guidance expected from regional meteorological services over the next 24 hours will refine precipitation timing and thus final maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,145End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office project a daytime high near 25–26°C for Mexico City on August 13, aligning with the seasonal average of about 24°C driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which suppresses extreme heat. Afternoon convective showers typical of the North American monsoon season introduce cooling and cloud cover that limit warming, while recent early-August observations show highs mostly between 24–26°C with occasional peaks near 29°C under clearer skies. Trader sentiment clusters on 25–26°C outcomes because model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability and low odds of strong high-pressure ridging that would push temperatures to 27°C or above. Updated guidance expected from regional meteorological services over the next 24 hours will refine precipitation timing and thus final maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,145End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office project a daytime high near 25–26°C for Mexico City on August 13, aligning with the seasonal average of about 24°C driven by the city's 2,240-meter elevation, which suppresses extreme heat. Afternoon convective showers typical of the North American monsoon season introduce cooling and cloud cover that limit warming, while recent early-August observations show highs mostly between 24–26°C with occasional peaks near 29°C under clearer skies. Trader sentiment clusters on 25–26°C outcomes because model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability and low odds of strong high-pressure ridging that would push temperatures to 27°C or above. Updated guidance expected from regional meteorological services over the next 24 hours will refine precipitation timing and thus final maximum readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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