Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Istanbul on August 7 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, with sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderating peak heating near urban stations. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs reach 28–30°C amid stable high pressure without incoming fronts or significant cloud cover. Minor differences between 28°C and 29°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and local measurement variability at official sites, as models show only subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing. Traders are incorporating the latest ensemble runs, with resolution depending on the final observed maximum from authorized meteorological data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 7?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 7?
28°C 42%
29°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
13%
28°C
42%
29°C
38%
30°C
7%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
24°C or below
$628 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$589 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$538 Vol.
2%
27°C
$633 Vol.
13%
28°C
$1,035 Vol.
42%
29°C
$910 Vol.
38%
30°C
$389 Vol.
7%
31°C
$299 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$367 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$514 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$746 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Istanbul on August 7 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, with sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderating peak heating near urban stations. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs reach 28–30°C amid stable high pressure without incoming fronts or significant cloud cover. Minor differences between 28°C and 29°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and local measurement variability at official sites, as models show only subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing. Traders are incorporating the latest ensemble runs, with resolution depending on the final observed maximum from authorized meteorological data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$6,648End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Istanbul on August 7 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, with sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderating peak heating near urban stations. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs reach 28–30°C amid stable high pressure without incoming fronts or significant cloud cover. Minor differences between 28°C and 29°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and local measurement variability at official sites, as models show only subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing. Traders are incorporating the latest ensemble runs, with resolution depending on the final observed maximum from authorized meteorological data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,648End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus points to a daily maximum of 28–29°C in Istanbul on August 7 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, with sea breezes from the Bosphorus and Marmara moderating peak heating near urban stations. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs reach 28–30°C amid stable high pressure without incoming fronts or significant cloud cover. Minor differences between 28°C and 29°C outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation and local measurement variability at official sites, as models show only subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing. Traders are incorporating the latest ensemble runs, with resolution depending on the final observed maximum from authorized meteorological data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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