Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies project a high near 90–93°F in Houston on September 6, consistent with the seasonal average of 91°F and recent days near 92–94°F. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by typical Gulf moisture and weak steering winds, are expected to develop in the afternoon, limiting peak heating while humidity keeps heat indices elevated. This consensus positions the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of short-range guidance with limited model spread. No strong frontal passage or anomalous ridge is indicated to push temperatures outside the low-to-mid 90s before resolution tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 6?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 6?
90-91°F 37%
92-93°F 27%
88-89°F 19%
94-95°F 9%
NEW
$15,437 Vol.
NEW
$15,437 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
19%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 37%
92-93°F 27%
88-89°F 19%
94-95°F 9%
NEW
$15,437 Vol.
NEW
$15,437 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
81°F or below
$2,199 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$370 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$460 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$807 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$3,696 Vol.
19%
90-91°F
$2,168 Vol.
37%
92-93°F
$3,960 Vol.
27%
94-95°F
$520 Vol.
9%
96-97°F
$234 Vol.
2%
98-99°F
$264 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$759 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies project a high near 90–93°F in Houston on September 6, consistent with the seasonal average of 91°F and recent days near 92–94°F. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by typical Gulf moisture and weak steering winds, are expected to develop in the afternoon, limiting peak heating while humidity keeps heat indices elevated. This consensus positions the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of short-range guidance with limited model spread. No strong frontal passage or anomalous ridge is indicated to push temperatures outside the low-to-mid 90s before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,437End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies project a high near 90–93°F in Houston on September 6, consistent with the seasonal average of 91°F and recent days near 92–94°F. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by typical Gulf moisture and weak steering winds, are expected to develop in the afternoon, limiting peak heating while humidity keeps heat indices elevated. This consensus positions the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of short-range guidance with limited model spread. No strong frontal passage or anomalous ridge is indicated to push temperatures outside the low-to-mid 90s before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,437End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies project a high near 90–93°F in Houston on September 6, consistent with the seasonal average of 91°F and recent days near 92–94°F. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, driven by typical Gulf moisture and weak steering winds, are expected to develop in the afternoon, limiting peak heating while humidity keeps heat indices elevated. This consensus positions the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins as market leaders, reflecting trader assessment of short-range guidance with limited model spread. No strong frontal passage or anomalous ridge is indicated to push temperatures outside the low-to-mid 90s before resolution tomorrow.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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