Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 6 points to a high near 90–93 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies with a 40–50 % chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This pattern, typical for early September in southeast Texas, features a warm, humid Gulf airmass with light steering winds that limit widespread cooling while allowing localized convective activity to briefly suppress peak readings. The historical climatological average high sits at 91 °F, and current ensemble spreads remain narrow around this value with no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 90–91 °F (36.5 %) and 92–93 °F (26.5 %) bins aligns closely with this forecast envelope and the modest uncertainty from storm timing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on September 6?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 6?
90-91°F 37%
92-93°F 27%
88-89°F 16%
94-95°F 9%
NEW
$15,611 Vol.
NEW
$15,611 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
37%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
1%
100°F or higher
<1%
90-91°F 37%
92-93°F 27%
88-89°F 16%
94-95°F 9%
NEW
$15,611 Vol.
NEW
$15,611 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
81°F or below
$2,205 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$370 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$460 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$807 Vol.
7%
88-89°F
$3,696 Vol.
16%
90-91°F
$2,329 Vol.
37%
92-93°F
$3,960 Vol.
27%
94-95°F
$520 Vol.
9%
96-97°F
$241 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$264 Vol.
1%
100°F or higher
$759 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 6 points to a high near 90–93 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies with a 40–50 % chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This pattern, typical for early September in southeast Texas, features a warm, humid Gulf airmass with light steering winds that limit widespread cooling while allowing localized convective activity to briefly suppress peak readings. The historical climatological average high sits at 91 °F, and current ensemble spreads remain narrow around this value with no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 90–91 °F (36.5 %) and 92–93 °F (26.5 %) bins aligns closely with this forecast envelope and the modest uncertainty from storm timing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$15,611End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 6 points to a high near 90–93 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies with a 40–50 % chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This pattern, typical for early September in southeast Texas, features a warm, humid Gulf airmass with light steering winds that limit widespread cooling while allowing localized convective activity to briefly suppress peak readings. The historical climatological average high sits at 91 °F, and current ensemble spreads remain narrow around this value with no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 90–91 °F (36.5 %) and 92–93 °F (26.5 %) bins aligns closely with this forecast envelope and the modest uncertainty from storm timing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,611End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Houston on September 6 points to a high near 90–93 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies with a 40–50 % chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms. This pattern, typical for early September in southeast Texas, features a warm, humid Gulf airmass with light steering winds that limit widespread cooling while allowing localized convective activity to briefly suppress peak readings. The historical climatological average high sits at 91 °F, and current ensemble spreads remain narrow around this value with no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected. Trader consensus reflected in the leading 90–91 °F (36.5 %) and 92–93 °F (26.5 %) bins aligns closely with this forecast envelope and the modest uncertainty from storm timing. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final refinement ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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