Forecasts from the National Weather Service and local outlets project a Denver high near 91°F on September 6 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms possible. Recent model runs and observed warming through early September have lifted expected maxima into the low 90s, above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 83°F, yet the 30–40% thunderstorm probability introduces key uncertainty: early or widespread convection could cap temperatures in the 90–91°F range by reducing insolation, while limited or late-day activity would favor 92–93°F readings. Dew points near 45–50°F and light northeast winds support modest moisture that may enhance cloud cover without widespread rain. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread between the two leading bins, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited run-to-run variability at this short lead time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on September 6?
Highest temperature in Denver on September 6?
90-91°F 44%
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 8%
88-89°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
8%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 44%
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 8%
88-89°F 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
79°F or below
$1,156 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$285 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$589 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$150 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$454 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$720 Vol.
7%
90-91°F
$971 Vol.
44%
92-93°F
$1,224 Vol.
42%
94-95°F
$563 Vol.
8%
96-97°F
$482 Vol.
2%
98°F or higher
$399 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and local outlets project a Denver high near 91°F on September 6 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms possible. Recent model runs and observed warming through early September have lifted expected maxima into the low 90s, above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 83°F, yet the 30–40% thunderstorm probability introduces key uncertainty: early or widespread convection could cap temperatures in the 90–91°F range by reducing insolation, while limited or late-day activity would favor 92–93°F readings. Dew points near 45–50°F and light northeast winds support modest moisture that may enhance cloud cover without widespread rain. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread between the two leading bins, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited run-to-run variability at this short lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,994End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and local outlets project a Denver high near 91°F on September 6 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms possible. Recent model runs and observed warming through early September have lifted expected maxima into the low 90s, above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 83°F, yet the 30–40% thunderstorm probability introduces key uncertainty: early or widespread convection could cap temperatures in the 90–91°F range by reducing insolation, while limited or late-day activity would favor 92–93°F readings. Dew points near 45–50°F and light northeast winds support modest moisture that may enhance cloud cover without widespread rain. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread between the two leading bins, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited run-to-run variability at this short lead time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,994End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkfResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and local outlets project a Denver high near 91°F on September 6 under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms possible. Recent model runs and observed warming through early September have lifted expected maxima into the low 90s, above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 83°F, yet the 30–40% thunderstorm probability introduces key uncertainty: early or widespread convection could cap temperatures in the 90–91°F range by reducing insolation, while limited or late-day activity would favor 92–93°F readings. Dew points near 45–50°F and light northeast winds support modest moisture that may enhance cloud cover without widespread rain. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread between the two leading bins, consistent with ensemble guidance showing limited run-to-run variability at this short lead time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions