Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 7 point to a high near 97°F under sunny skies with light winds and patchy smoke, sustaining trader focus on the 96–99°F bins that together exceed 65% implied probability. This outlook reflects the lingering influence of a strong upper-level ridge that produced Denver’s second-hottest July on record and multiple 100°F days in late July, elevating baseline temperatures well above the early-August climatological normal of 89–90°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability through the weekend before a gradual cool-down begins midweek, keeping the highest-temperature outcome tightly clustered around the current forecast while underscoring the sensitivity of final readings to any late changes in smoke cover or wind.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 7?
98-99°F 39%
96-97°F 37%
94-95°F 16%
92-93°F 5%
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 39%
96-97°F 37%
94-95°F 16%
92-93°F 5%
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
37%
98-99°F
39%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Denver on August 7 point to a high near 97°F under sunny skies with light winds and patchy smoke, sustaining trader focus on the 96–99°F bins that together exceed 65% implied probability. This outlook reflects the lingering influence of a strong upper-level ridge that produced Denver’s second-hottest July on record and multiple 100°F days in late July, elevating baseline temperatures well above the early-August climatological normal of 89–90°F. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability through the weekend before a gradual cool-down begins midweek, keeping the highest-temperature outcome tightly clustered around the current forecast while underscoring the sensitivity of final readings to any late changes in smoke cover or wind.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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