Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a high near 28–29°C for Busan on September 6, driven by persistent northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September maritime conditions that moderate daytime heating. These align with climatological averages of 26–28°C while recent observations show stable temperatures without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 45.5% for 29°C and 30.5% for 28°C reflects model agreement on this range, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C or cooler outcomes due to limited potential for intensification or cooling fronts in the short term. Updated runs and evening observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on September 6?
29°C 46%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
27°C 5%
$20,224 Vol.
$20,224 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
31%
29°C
46%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 46%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
27°C 5%
$20,224 Vol.
$20,224 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
31%
29°C
46%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a high near 28–29°C for Busan on September 6, driven by persistent northeasterly winds, partly cloudy skies, and typical early-September maritime conditions that moderate daytime heating. These align with climatological averages of 26–28°C while recent observations show stable temperatures without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 45.5% for 29°C and 30.5% for 28°C reflects model agreement on this range, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C or cooler outcomes due to limited potential for intensification or cooling fronts in the short term. Updated runs and evening observations will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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