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Tech·App

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
Tech·App

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

Aug 14

Aug 14

ChatGPT 29%

TikTok Pro - Events 19%

ParentSquare 9%

Capital One Mobile 7%

Polymarket
NEW

ChatGPT 29%

TikTok Pro - Events 19%

ParentSquare 9%

Capital One Mobile 7%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$0 Vol.

19%

icon for ParentSquare

ParentSquare

$60 Vol.

9%

icon for Capital One Mobile

Capital One Mobile

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

$12 Vol.

6%

icon for Threads

Threads

$12 Vol.

6%

icon for Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

$12 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Several apps remain closely matched for the #2 free spot in the US App Store on August 14, with trader sentiment reflecting uncertainty around short-term ranking momentum. ChatGPT holds the highest listed probability at 28.5% due to its established large language model user base and consistent engagement, while TikTok Pro-Events at 19% benefits from platform algorithm-driven discovery and event features. Lower-probability contenders like ParentSquare, Capital One Mobile, Depop, Threads, and Vinted highlight competitive dynamics in education, finance, marketplace, and social categories. Key differentiators include recent app updates, cross-platform promotions, and potential viral content spikes that could shift downloads in the final days before resolution. Market-implied odds capture aggregated trader views on these fast-moving factors.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$96
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 6:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Several apps remain closely matched for the #2 free spot in the US App Store on August 14, with trader sentiment reflecting uncertainty around short-term ranking momentum. ChatGPT holds the highest listed probability at 28.5% due to its established large language model user base and consistent engagement, while TikTok Pro-Events at 19% benefits from platform algorithm-driven discovery and event features. Lower-probability contenders like ParentSquare, Capital One Mobile, Depop, Threads, and Vinted highlight competitive dynamics in education, finance, marketplace, and social categories. Key differentiators include recent app updates, cross-platform promotions, and potential viral content spikes that could shift downloads in the final days before resolution. Market-implied odds capture aggregated trader views on these fast-moving factors.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$96
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 6:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Related

icon for Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

45%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ChatGPT" at 28%, followed by "TikTok Pro - Events" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" is "ChatGPT" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "TikTok Pro - Events" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.