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Tech·App

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

icon for #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
Tech·App

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

Aug 14

Aug 14

TikTok Pro - Events 45%

ChatGPT 45%

Capital One Mobile 44%

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace 39%

Polymarket
NEW

TikTok Pro - Events 45%

ChatGPT 45%

Capital One Mobile 44%

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace 39%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Capital One Mobile

Capital One Mobile

$200 Vol.

44%

icon for Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

$205 Vol.

39%

icon for Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

$215 Vol.

38%

icon for Threads

Threads

$347 Vol.

34%

icon for ParentSquare

ParentSquare

$50 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).The closely matched probabilities around 46-50% for ChatGPT, TikTok Pro - Events, and several other contenders reflect a highly competitive race for the top free US App Store spot on August 14, with no single app establishing clear dominance through recent updates or user surges. Traders are pricing in the impact of AI model enhancements and chatbot features that could boost ChatGPT engagement, alongside platform-driven promotions or event tie-ins that favor TikTok variants, while established players like Threads, Depop, and Vinted compete on social sharing and marketplace algorithms. Factors such as Apple’s ranking criteria, potential last-minute app releases or marketing pushes, and category-specific download spikes create ongoing uncertainty, with lower-odds options like ParentSquare highlighting niche appeal barriers. Resolution hinges on final weekend performance before the cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$1,017
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 6:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).The closely matched probabilities around 46-50% for ChatGPT, TikTok Pro - Events, and several other contenders reflect a highly competitive race for the top free US App Store spot on August 14, with no single app establishing clear dominance through recent updates or user surges. Traders are pricing in the impact of AI model enhancements and chatbot features that could boost ChatGPT engagement, alongside platform-driven promotions or event tie-ins that favor TikTok variants, while established players like Threads, Depop, and Vinted compete on social sharing and marketplace algorithms. Factors such as Apple’s ranking criteria, potential last-minute app releases or marketing pushes, and category-specific download spikes create ongoing uncertainty, with lower-odds options like ParentSquare highlighting niche appeal barriers. Resolution hinges on final weekend performance before the cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volume
$1,017
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 6:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "TikTok Pro - Events" at 45%, followed by "ChatGPT" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" is "TikTok Pro - Events" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ChatGPT" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.