Democrats have introduced multiple impeachment resolutions against President Trump in 2025 and 2026, citing actions related to the Iran conflict, executive orders, and alleged abuses of power. Public polling shows consistent majorities of Americans, including independents, viewing grounds for impeachment as present. Trump has publicly warned that Republican losses in the November 2026 midterms would likely trigger House proceedings under Democratic control. Prediction markets reflect these dynamics, with traders assigning a 62% implied probability to impeachment before the term concludes in 2029, driven by the institutional threshold of House passage and historical patterns of partisan investigations. Key catalysts include midterm outcomes and any further escalations that could broaden bipartisan support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?
¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?
Sí
63% probabilidad
$89,652 Vol.
$89,652 Vol.
20 ene 2029
Sí
63% probabilidad
$89,652 Vol.
$89,652 Vol.
20 ene 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats have introduced multiple impeachment resolutions against President Trump in 2025 and 2026, citing actions related to the Iran conflict, executive orders, and alleged abuses of power. Public polling shows consistent majorities of Americans, including independents, viewing grounds for impeachment as present. Trump has publicly warned that Republican losses in the November 2026 midterms would likely trigger House proceedings under Democratic control. Prediction markets reflect these dynamics, with traders assigning a 62% implied probability to impeachment before the term concludes in 2029, driven by the institutional threshold of House passage and historical patterns of partisan investigations. Key catalysts include midterm outcomes and any further escalations that could broaden bipartisan support.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$89,652Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats have introduced multiple impeachment resolutions against President Trump in 2025 and 2026, citing actions related to the Iran conflict, executive orders, and alleged abuses of power. Public polling shows consistent majorities of Americans, including independents, viewing grounds for impeachment as present. Trump has publicly warned that Republican losses in the November 2026 midterms would likely trigger House proceedings under Democratic control. Prediction markets reflect these dynamics, with traders assigning a 62% implied probability to impeachment before the term concludes in 2029, driven by the institutional threshold of House passage and historical patterns of partisan investigations. Key catalysts include midterm outcomes and any further escalations that could broaden bipartisan support.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$89,652Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats have introduced multiple impeachment resolutions against President Trump in 2025 and 2026, citing actions related to the Iran conflict, executive orders, and alleged abuses of power. Public polling shows consistent majorities of Americans, including independents, viewing grounds for impeachment as present. Trump has publicly warned that Republican losses in the November 2026 midterms would likely trigger House proceedings under Democratic control. Prediction markets reflect these dynamics, with traders assigning a 62% implied probability to impeachment before the term concludes in 2029, driven by the institutional threshold of House passage and historical patterns of partisan investigations. Key catalysts include midterm outcomes and any further escalations that could broaden bipartisan support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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