**Trader consensus at 63% for impeachment before January 2029 centers on the November 2026 midterms and the prospect of Democratic House control.** With Republicans currently holding majorities, immediate articles of impeachment remain unlikely, but a midterm flip would give Democrats procedural power to advance charges over executive actions, policy disputes, or investigations—consistent with historical patterns during divided government. Recent developments, including lawsuits challenging administration orders, public calls for accountability tied to foreign policy moves, and Trump’s own comments highlighting midterm risks, reinforce this positioning. The two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction adds uncertainty, yet the market prices the elevated probability of House action across the remainder of the term. Scheduled electoral and legislative timelines through 2028 keep these factors in focus for traders assessing political risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?
¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?
Sí
63% probabilidad
$89,702 Vol.
$89,702 Vol.
20 ene 2029
Sí
63% probabilidad
$89,702 Vol.
$89,702 Vol.
20 ene 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Trader consensus at 63% for impeachment before January 2029 centers on the November 2026 midterms and the prospect of Democratic House control.** With Republicans currently holding majorities, immediate articles of impeachment remain unlikely, but a midterm flip would give Democrats procedural power to advance charges over executive actions, policy disputes, or investigations—consistent with historical patterns during divided government. Recent developments, including lawsuits challenging administration orders, public calls for accountability tied to foreign policy moves, and Trump’s own comments highlighting midterm risks, reinforce this positioning. The two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction adds uncertainty, yet the market prices the elevated probability of House action across the remainder of the term. Scheduled electoral and legislative timelines through 2028 keep these factors in focus for traders assessing political risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$89,702Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Trader consensus at 63% for impeachment before January 2029 centers on the November 2026 midterms and the prospect of Democratic House control.** With Republicans currently holding majorities, immediate articles of impeachment remain unlikely, but a midterm flip would give Democrats procedural power to advance charges over executive actions, policy disputes, or investigations—consistent with historical patterns during divided government. Recent developments, including lawsuits challenging administration orders, public calls for accountability tied to foreign policy moves, and Trump’s own comments highlighting midterm risks, reinforce this positioning. The two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction adds uncertainty, yet the market prices the elevated probability of House action across the remainder of the term. Scheduled electoral and legislative timelines through 2028 keep these factors in focus for traders assessing political risk.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$89,702Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus at 63% for impeachment before January 2029 centers on the November 2026 midterms and the prospect of Democratic House control.** With Republicans currently holding majorities, immediate articles of impeachment remain unlikely, but a midterm flip would give Democrats procedural power to advance charges over executive actions, policy disputes, or investigations—consistent with historical patterns during divided government. Recent developments, including lawsuits challenging administration orders, public calls for accountability tied to foreign policy moves, and Trump’s own comments highlighting midterm risks, reinforce this positioning. The two-thirds Senate threshold for conviction adds uncertainty, yet the market prices the elevated probability of House action across the remainder of the term. Scheduled electoral and legislative timelines through 2028 keep these factors in focus for traders assessing political risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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