**Trader consensus positions 40-64 tweets as the frontrunner at 46% implied probability for Elon Musk’s August 20-22 activity, followed by under 40 at 33%, reflecting expectations of moderate output consistent with his recent patterns.** Over the prior week, Musk has maintained a daily average of roughly 24-26 posts on X, including replies and original content, with recent examples showing bursts of four to five posts in single sessions amid discussions on AI, Tesla, and platform features. No major scheduled events or statements signal a sharp deviation in the coming days, though weekend timing and variable engagement levels often moderate volume compared to midweek peaks. Historical data reinforces this range as typical rather than outlier activity, with traders weighing the platform owner’s consistent but fluctuating pace against the short three-day window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-64 46%
<40 32.6%
65-89 19%
90-114 3.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
<40
33%
40-64
46%
65-89
19%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 46%
<40 32.6%
65-89 19%
90-114 3.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
<40
$323 Vol.
33%
40-64
$122 Vol.
46%
65-89
$71 Vol.
19%
90-114
$0 Vol.
4%
115-139
$676 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,617 Vol.
1%
165-189
$3,797 Vol.
1%
190-214
$1,120 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$1,120 Vol.
<1%
240+
$770 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus positions 40-64 tweets as the frontrunner at 46% implied probability for Elon Musk’s August 20-22 activity, followed by under 40 at 33%, reflecting expectations of moderate output consistent with his recent patterns.**
Over the prior week, Musk has maintained a daily average of roughly 24-26 posts on X, including replies and original content, with recent examples showing bursts of four to five posts in single sessions amid discussions on AI, Tesla, and platform features. No major scheduled events or statements signal a sharp deviation in the coming days, though weekend timing and variable engagement levels often moderate volume compared to midweek peaks. Historical data reinforces this range as typical rather than outlier activity, with traders weighing the platform owner’s consistent but fluctuating pace against the short three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volumen
$9,616Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus positions 40-64 tweets as the frontrunner at 46% implied probability for Elon Musk’s August 20-22 activity, followed by under 40 at 33%, reflecting expectations of moderate output consistent with his recent patterns.**
Over the prior week, Musk has maintained a daily average of roughly 24-26 posts on X, including replies and original content, with recent examples showing bursts of four to five posts in single sessions amid discussions on AI, Tesla, and platform features. No major scheduled events or statements signal a sharp deviation in the coming days, though weekend timing and variable engagement levels often moderate volume compared to midweek peaks. Historical data reinforces this range as typical rather than outlier activity, with traders weighing the platform owner’s consistent but fluctuating pace against the short three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$9,616Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus positions 40-64 tweets as the frontrunner at 46% implied probability for Elon Musk’s August 20-22 activity, followed by under 40 at 33%, reflecting expectations of moderate output consistent with his recent patterns.** Over the prior week, Musk has maintained a daily average of roughly 24-26 posts on X, including replies and original content, with recent examples showing bursts of four to five posts in single sessions amid discussions on AI, Tesla, and platform features. No major scheduled events or statements signal a sharp deviation in the coming days, though weekend timing and variable engagement levels often moderate volume compared to midweek peaks. Historical data reinforces this range as typical rather than outlier activity, with traders weighing the platform owner’s consistent but fluctuating pace against the short three-day window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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