Elon Musk’s tweet volume for August 14-21 faces closely matched trader expectations centered on the 160-219 range because his recent pace has hovered near 30 posts daily, with multiple SpaceX Falcon 9 launches and a Starlink mission scheduled across the period plus Tesla AI Day on the 19th likely to trigger additional real-time commentary and company updates. These events historically boost activity as Musk shares engineering details, progress reports, and reactions, yet the week lacks overlapping major political or personal catalysts that have previously driven spikes above 300 posts. Markets reflect this balance through tight pricing between the 180-199 and 160-179 buckets, with lower-probability tails accounting for quiet stretches or sudden news surges. Traders appear focused on launch cadence and AI Day momentum as the key swing variables ahead of the interval.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado180-199 19%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
220-239 13%
$114,789 Vol.
$114,789 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
5%
140-159
10%
160-179
18%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 19%
160-179 18%
200-219 17%
220-239 13%
$114,789 Vol.
$114,789 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
5%
140-159
10%
160-179
18%
180-199
19%
200-219
17%
220-239
13%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s tweet volume for August 14-21 faces closely matched trader expectations centered on the 160-219 range because his recent pace has hovered near 30 posts daily, with multiple SpaceX Falcon 9 launches and a Starlink mission scheduled across the period plus Tesla AI Day on the 19th likely to trigger additional real-time commentary and company updates. These events historically boost activity as Musk shares engineering details, progress reports, and reactions, yet the week lacks overlapping major political or personal catalysts that have previously driven spikes above 300 posts. Markets reflect this balance through tight pricing between the 180-199 and 160-179 buckets, with lower-probability tails accounting for quiet stretches or sudden news surges. Traders appear focused on launch cadence and AI Day momentum as the key swing variables ahead of the interval.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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