**Recent Deadline tracking for a $20–25 million opening from roughly 3,400 theaters has anchored trader expectations around the mid-20s range.** This latest figure, reported just before previews begin on August 13, sits below earlier long-range forecasts of $25–35 million and reflects softer unaided awareness compared with 2018 monster-movie comps like *The Meg* and *Rampage*. Key differentiating factors include Anne Hathaway’s strong appeal among female audiences, which has kept interest ahead of awareness throughout the campaign, versus limited premium-large-format access because IMAX screens are committed to bigger titles. The $80 million net budget and original IP from director David Robert Mitchell add volatility—positive word-of-mouth could push it toward the higher bins, while any softness in previews or mixed early reviews could cap it nearer the 20–23 million mark. Competition from *PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie* on the same weekend further fragments family audiences. With Rotten Tomatoes scores and full preview numbers still pending, the closely bunched probabilities (20–23 million at 28.5 percent, 26 million-plus at 26.5 percent) mirror the narrow window between solid debut and modest underperformance before *Insidious: Out of the Further* arrives the following weekend.