Anthropic's 81% market-implied odds reflect its recent leadership in agentic AI, including the early September release of Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, the August Model Hardware Standard enabling agents to control physical lab and manufacturing devices, and ongoing enhancements to Claude Managed Agents such as dreaming for self-improvement and multi-agent orchestration. These build on Claude Code's dominance in long-horizon coding tasks and high autonomous success rates, outpacing rivals in enterprise tool use and safety benchmarks. OpenAI's 19% odds stem from Codex and ChatGPT Work agent deployments plus the early September GPT-6 Astra launch, yet traders view these as trailing in production reliability and context handling. With resolution imminent at month-end, further verified capability demonstrations could still shift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAnthropic 80%
OpenAI 19.1%
Z.ai <1%
Amazon <1%
$184,117 Vol.
$184,117 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Anthropic
80%
OpenAI
19%
Z.ai
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Meta
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Anthropic 80%
OpenAI 19.1%
Z.ai <1%
Amazon <1%
$184,117 Vol.
$184,117 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Anthropic
$48,840 Vol.
80%
OpenAI
$26,782 Vol.
19%
Z.ai
$7,157 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$7,086 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$7,149 Vol.
<1%
$7,474 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$7,710 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$7,599 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$7,128 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$7,388 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$7,021 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$7,084 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$7,153 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$6,958 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$7,075 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$6,939 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$7,035 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$539 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's 81% market-implied odds reflect its recent leadership in agentic AI, including the early September release of Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, the August Model Hardware Standard enabling agents to control physical lab and manufacturing devices, and ongoing enhancements to Claude Managed Agents such as dreaming for self-improvement and multi-agent orchestration. These build on Claude Code's dominance in long-horizon coding tasks and high autonomous success rates, outpacing rivals in enterprise tool use and safety benchmarks. OpenAI's 19% odds stem from Codex and ChatGPT Work agent deployments plus the early September GPT-6 Astra launch, yet traders view these as trailing in production reliability and context handling. With resolution imminent at month-end, further verified capability demonstrations could still shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Volumen
$184,117Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's 81% market-implied odds reflect its recent leadership in agentic AI, including the early September release of Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, the August Model Hardware Standard enabling agents to control physical lab and manufacturing devices, and ongoing enhancements to Claude Managed Agents such as dreaming for self-improvement and multi-agent orchestration. These build on Claude Code's dominance in long-horizon coding tasks and high autonomous success rates, outpacing rivals in enterprise tool use and safety benchmarks. OpenAI's 19% odds stem from Codex and ChatGPT Work agent deployments plus the early September GPT-6 Astra launch, yet traders view these as trailing in production reliability and context handling. With resolution imminent at month-end, further verified capability demonstrations could still shift sentiment.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volumen
$184,117Fecha de finalización
1 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 7:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's 81% market-implied odds reflect its recent leadership in agentic AI, including the early September release of Claude Commerce Agents for retail and merchant workflows, the August Model Hardware Standard enabling agents to control physical lab and manufacturing devices, and ongoing enhancements to Claude Managed Agents such as dreaming for self-improvement and multi-agent orchestration. These build on Claude Code's dominance in long-horizon coding tasks and high autonomous success rates, outpacing rivals in enterprise tool use and safety benchmarks. OpenAI's 19% odds stem from Codex and ChatGPT Work agent deployments plus the early September GPT-6 Astra launch, yet traders view these as trailing in production reliability and context handling. With resolution imminent at month-end, further verified capability demonstrations could still shift sentiment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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