OpenRouter's token usage data for late August 2026 shows a highly fragmented market where cost-efficient Chinese open-weight models dominate developer routing for agentic and coding workloads, positioning multiple labs in close contention for third place behind leaders like DeepSeek. OpenAI's elevated implied odds reflect residual share from recent GPT-5.6 discounts and batch features that retained some users post-promotion, while Z.ai, Tencent, Xiaomi, and MiniMax cluster tightly due to aggressive pricing, rapid iterations on models like GLM and Hy series, and strong benchmark performance in tool-use scenarios. US labs including Google, Anthropic, and Meta trail amid broader share erosion from 70% to around 30% over the prior year as cheaper alternatives capture volume. Upcoming weekly resolution hinges on any last-minute shifts in free-tier adoption or new releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoOpenAI 71%
Z.ai 16%
xAI 5%
DeepSeek 5%

OpenAI
71%

Z.ai
16%

xAI
5%

DeepSeek
5%

Tencent
5%

Nvidia
5%

Xiaomi
5%

MiniMax
5%

Qwen
5%

5%

Meta
4%

Anthropic
4%
OpenAI 71%
Z.ai 16%
xAI 5%
DeepSeek 5%

OpenAI
71%

Z.ai
16%

xAI
5%

DeepSeek
5%

Tencent
5%

Nvidia
5%

Xiaomi
5%

MiniMax
5%

Qwen
5%

5%

Meta
4%

Anthropic
4%
A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 8:08 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used.
This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.
Fuente de resolución
https://openrouter.ai/rankingsResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenRouter's token usage data for late August 2026 shows a highly fragmented market where cost-efficient Chinese open-weight models dominate developer routing for agentic and coding workloads, positioning multiple labs in close contention for third place behind leaders like DeepSeek. OpenAI's elevated implied odds reflect residual share from recent GPT-5.6 discounts and batch features that retained some users post-promotion, while Z.ai, Tencent, Xiaomi, and MiniMax cluster tightly due to aggressive pricing, rapid iterations on models like GLM and Hy series, and strong benchmark performance in tool-use scenarios. US labs including Google, Anthropic, and Meta trail amid broader share erosion from 70% to around 30% over the prior year as cheaper alternatives capture volume. Upcoming weekly resolution hinges on any last-minute shifts in free-tier adoption or new releases.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes