Democratic incumbent James Walkinshaw holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 11th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index around D+18 that has favored the party in recent cycles. Walkinshaw secured the nomination earlier in 2025 and benefits from substantial fundraising exceeding $1 million, while Republican nominee Arthur Purves advanced after the GOP primary was canceled and trails significantly in resources. The district’s Northern Virginia composition, including strong Democratic-leaning areas in Fairfax County, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current odds. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-11 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$28,146 Vol.
$28,146 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
97%
Partido Republicano
2%
$28,146 Vol.
$28,146 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$16,550 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$11,596 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent James Walkinshaw holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 11th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index around D+18 that has favored the party in recent cycles. Walkinshaw secured the nomination earlier in 2025 and benefits from substantial fundraising exceeding $1 million, while Republican nominee Arthur Purves advanced after the GOP primary was canceled and trails significantly in resources. The district’s Northern Virginia composition, including strong Democratic-leaning areas in Fairfax County, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current odds. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$28,146Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent James Walkinshaw holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 11th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index around D+18 that has favored the party in recent cycles. Walkinshaw secured the nomination earlier in 2025 and benefits from substantial fundraising exceeding $1 million, while Republican nominee Arthur Purves advanced after the GOP primary was canceled and trails significantly in resources. The district’s Northern Virginia composition, including strong Democratic-leaning areas in Fairfax County, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current odds. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,146Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent James Walkinshaw holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 11th congressional district, a solidly Democratic seat with a partisan voting index around D+18 that has favored the party in recent cycles. Walkinshaw secured the nomination earlier in 2025 and benefits from substantial fundraising exceeding $1 million, while Republican nominee Arthur Purves advanced after the GOP primary was canceled and trails significantly in resources. The district’s Northern Virginia composition, including strong Democratic-leaning areas in Fairfax County, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current odds. A late-breaking scandal, serious health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan shift would be required to alter the outcome before the November 3, 2026, general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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