Florida's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning the seat as a strong hold for the party in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster's retirement created an open-seat primary on August 18, 2026, drawing multiple GOP candidates including Carey Baker, Ivette Palomo, and Anthony Sabatini, while Democrats fielded a smaller field. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican due to the district's demographics and voting history in central Florida areas such as Clermont and The Villages. New congressional maps enacted in May 2026 and ongoing but non-disruptive litigation have not altered the underlying partisan balance, supporting trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican winner.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara FL-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara FL-11
$18,946 Vol.
$18,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Demócrata
16%
$18,946 Vol.
$18,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,543 Vol.
83%
Partido Demócrata
$11,403 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning the seat as a strong hold for the party in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster's retirement created an open-seat primary on August 18, 2026, drawing multiple GOP candidates including Carey Baker, Ivette Palomo, and Anthony Sabatini, while Democrats fielded a smaller field. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican due to the district's demographics and voting history in central Florida areas such as Clermont and The Villages. New congressional maps enacted in May 2026 and ongoing but non-disruptive litigation have not altered the underlying partisan balance, supporting trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican winner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volumen
$18,946Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning the seat as a strong hold for the party in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster's retirement created an open-seat primary on August 18, 2026, drawing multiple GOP candidates including Carey Baker, Ivette Palomo, and Anthony Sabatini, while Democrats fielded a smaller field. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican due to the district's demographics and voting history in central Florida areas such as Clermont and The Villages. New congressional maps enacted in May 2026 and ongoing but non-disruptive litigation have not altered the underlying partisan balance, supporting trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican winner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,946Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting and positioning the seat as a strong hold for the party in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Daniel Webster's retirement created an open-seat primary on August 18, 2026, drawing multiple GOP candidates including Carey Baker, Ivette Palomo, and Anthony Sabatini, while Democrats fielded a smaller field. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican due to the district's demographics and voting history in central Florida areas such as Clermont and The Villages. New congressional maps enacted in May 2026 and ongoing but non-disruptive litigation have not altered the underlying partisan balance, supporting trader consensus around an 82.5% implied probability for a Republican winner.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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