Republican incumbent Gus Bilirakis seeks re-election in Florida’s 12th congressional district on November 3, 2026, facing the winner of the August 18 Democratic primary. The Tampa Bay-area seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in 2024, producing consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in prior cycles. Bilirakis advanced unopposed in the Republican primary while two Democrats compete for their nomination and a no-party-affiliation candidate has filed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic recruitment, fundraising gaps, and structural advantages for the sitting member. These elements underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara FL-12
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara FL-12
$41,430 Vol.
$41,430 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
83%
Partido Demócrata
18%
$41,430 Vol.
$41,430 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$15,498 Vol.
83%
Partido Demócrata
$25,932 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Gus Bilirakis seeks re-election in Florida’s 12th congressional district on November 3, 2026, facing the winner of the August 18 Democratic primary. The Tampa Bay-area seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in 2024, producing consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in prior cycles. Bilirakis advanced unopposed in the Republican primary while two Democrats compete for their nomination and a no-party-affiliation candidate has filed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic recruitment, fundraising gaps, and structural advantages for the sitting member. These elements underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volumen
$41,430Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Gus Bilirakis seeks re-election in Florida’s 12th congressional district on November 3, 2026, facing the winner of the August 18 Democratic primary. The Tampa Bay-area seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in 2024, producing consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in prior cycles. Bilirakis advanced unopposed in the Republican primary while two Democrats compete for their nomination and a no-party-affiliation candidate has filed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic recruitment, fundraising gaps, and structural advantages for the sitting member. These elements underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$41,430Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Gus Bilirakis seeks re-election in Florida’s 12th congressional district on November 3, 2026, facing the winner of the August 18 Democratic primary. The Tampa Bay-area seat carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and supported the Republican presidential nominee by double digits in 2024, producing consistent double-digit margins for the incumbent in prior cycles. Bilirakis advanced unopposed in the Republican primary while two Democrats compete for their nomination and a no-party-affiliation candidate has filed. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, reflecting limited Democratic recruitment, fundraising gaps, and structural advantages for the sitting member. These elements underpin trader consensus that the Republican nominee will prevail.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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