Incumbent Republican John Carter's comfortable primary victory and the TX-31 district's established R+11 partisan voting index anchor trader consensus around an 89.5% Republican outcome. The central Texas seat, spanning parts of Williamson, Bell, and surrounding counties, has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles due to its suburban and rural voter base. Democratic nominee Justin Early, a veteran and cybersecurity professional, faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by independent analysts. With the November 3 general election still ahead and no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported since the March primaries, the implied probability reflects the limited path for a Democratic upset absent significant late-cycle developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-31
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-31
$38,295 Vol.
$38,295 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
90%
Partido Demócrata
9%
$38,295 Vol.
$38,295 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$19,341 Vol.
90%
Partido Demócrata
$18,954 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's comfortable primary victory and the TX-31 district's established R+11 partisan voting index anchor trader consensus around an 89.5% Republican outcome. The central Texas seat, spanning parts of Williamson, Bell, and surrounding counties, has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles due to its suburban and rural voter base. Democratic nominee Justin Early, a veteran and cybersecurity professional, faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by independent analysts. With the November 3 general election still ahead and no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported since the March primaries, the implied probability reflects the limited path for a Democratic upset absent significant late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$38,295Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's comfortable primary victory and the TX-31 district's established R+11 partisan voting index anchor trader consensus around an 89.5% Republican outcome. The central Texas seat, spanning parts of Williamson, Bell, and surrounding counties, has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles due to its suburban and rural voter base. Democratic nominee Justin Early, a veteran and cybersecurity professional, faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by independent analysts. With the November 3 general election still ahead and no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported since the March primaries, the implied probability reflects the limited path for a Democratic upset absent significant late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,295Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter's comfortable primary victory and the TX-31 district's established R+11 partisan voting index anchor trader consensus around an 89.5% Republican outcome. The central Texas seat, spanning parts of Williamson, Bell, and surrounding counties, has consistently favored GOP candidates in recent cycles due to its suburban and rural voter base. Democratic nominee Justin Early, a veteran and cybersecurity professional, faces structural barriers in a district rated Solid Republican by independent analysts. With the November 3 general election still ahead and no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported since the March primaries, the implied probability reflects the limited path for a Democratic upset absent significant late-cycle developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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