Texas’s 32nd congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025 that shifted its boundaries to incorporate more Republican-leaning areas, converting the seat from a Democratic hold into a district rated Lean or Likely Republican by forecasters. The open seat drew a crowded GOP primary won by attorney Jace Yarbrough, who secured endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott before advancing unopposed after his main runoff opponent withdrew. Democrat Dan Barrios, a local councilmember, is the general-election nominee. With the November 2026 ballot roughly three months away and no competitive primary dynamics remaining, trader pricing reflects the structural Republican advantage created by the new map and unified GOP field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-32
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-32
$28,265 Vol.
$28,265 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
77%
Partido Demócrata
25%
$28,265 Vol.
$28,265 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$26,790 Vol.
77%
Partido Demócrata
$1,475 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 32nd congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025 that shifted its boundaries to incorporate more Republican-leaning areas, converting the seat from a Democratic hold into a district rated Lean or Likely Republican by forecasters. The open seat drew a crowded GOP primary won by attorney Jace Yarbrough, who secured endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott before advancing unopposed after his main runoff opponent withdrew. Democrat Dan Barrios, a local councilmember, is the general-election nominee. With the November 2026 ballot roughly three months away and no competitive primary dynamics remaining, trader pricing reflects the structural Republican advantage created by the new map and unified GOP field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volumen
$28,265Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 32nd congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025 that shifted its boundaries to incorporate more Republican-leaning areas, converting the seat from a Democratic hold into a district rated Lean or Likely Republican by forecasters. The open seat drew a crowded GOP primary won by attorney Jace Yarbrough, who secured endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott before advancing unopposed after his main runoff opponent withdrew. Democrat Dan Barrios, a local councilmember, is the general-election nominee. With the November 2026 ballot roughly three months away and no competitive primary dynamics remaining, trader pricing reflects the structural Republican advantage created by the new map and unified GOP field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,265Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 32nd congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025 that shifted its boundaries to incorporate more Republican-leaning areas, converting the seat from a Democratic hold into a district rated Lean or Likely Republican by forecasters. The open seat drew a crowded GOP primary won by attorney Jace Yarbrough, who secured endorsements from President Trump and Governor Abbott before advancing unopposed after his main runoff opponent withdrew. Democrat Dan Barrios, a local councilmember, is the general-election nominee. With the November 2026 ballot roughly three months away and no competitive primary dynamics remaining, trader pricing reflects the structural Republican advantage created by the new map and unified GOP field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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