Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaLota secured the GOP nomination without significant primary opposition after winning the seat in 2024, while Democrat Chris Gallant emerged from his June primary as the challenger. The district’s partisan composition, combined with LaLota’s established name recognition and fundraising, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 74.5% Republican probability. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited polling and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept the race stable, though national midterm dynamics could still influence turnout among key voting blocs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-01
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-01
$41,382 Vol.
$41,382 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
75%
Partido Demócrata
26%
$41,382 Vol.
$41,382 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$15,887 Vol.
75%
Partido Demócrata
$25,495 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaLota secured the GOP nomination without significant primary opposition after winning the seat in 2024, while Democrat Chris Gallant emerged from his June primary as the challenger. The district’s partisan composition, combined with LaLota’s established name recognition and fundraising, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 74.5% Republican probability. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited polling and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept the race stable, though national midterm dynamics could still influence turnout among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$41,382Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaLota secured the GOP nomination without significant primary opposition after winning the seat in 2024, while Democrat Chris Gallant emerged from his June primary as the challenger. The district’s partisan composition, combined with LaLota’s established name recognition and fundraising, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 74.5% Republican probability. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited polling and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept the race stable, though national midterm dynamics could still influence turnout among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$41,382Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st congressional district, a Suffolk County seat on eastern Long Island that has favored Republican candidates in recent cycles. LaLota secured the GOP nomination without significant primary opposition after winning the seat in 2024, while Democrat Chris Gallant emerged from his June primary as the challenger. The district’s partisan composition, combined with LaLota’s established name recognition and fundraising, underpins trader consensus reflected in the current 74.5% Republican probability. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, limited polling and the absence of major late-breaking developments have kept the race stable, though national midterm dynamics could still influence turnout among key voting blocs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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