Persistent warm air and elevated overnight humidity from thunderstorm activity kept Toronto's minimum temperature from falling sharply on August 22. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network consistently projected morning readings near 19 °C and nighttime lows of 17–21 °C under cloudy, breezy conditions, well above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 14–16 °C. Model consensus showed limited radiational cooling because of cloud cover and southerly flow, pushing market-implied odds for a lowest temperature of 19 °C or higher to 86.5 %. Cooler outcomes below 17 °C carried low probability because no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event materialized in the final model runs before the observation window closed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 22 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Toronto el 22 de agosto?
19°C o más 99.5%
16°C 1%
17°C 1%
18°C 1%
$2,928 Vol.
$2,928 Vol.
22 ago 2026
9°C o menos
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C o más
Sí
19°C o más 99.5%
16°C 1%
17°C 1%
18°C 1%
$2,928 Vol.
$2,928 Vol.
22 ago 2026
9°C o menos
$803 Vol.
No
10°C
$127 Vol.
No
11°C
$627 Vol.
No
12°C
$127 Vol.
No
13°C
$127 Vol.
No
14°C
$575 Vol.
No
15°C
$241 Vol.
No
16°C
$32 Vol.
No
17°C
$32 Vol.
No
18°C
$29 Vol.
No
19°C o más
$208 Vol.
Sí
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air and elevated overnight humidity from thunderstorm activity kept Toronto's minimum temperature from falling sharply on August 22. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network consistently projected morning readings near 19 °C and nighttime lows of 17–21 °C under cloudy, breezy conditions, well above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 14–16 °C. Model consensus showed limited radiational cooling because of cloud cover and southerly flow, pushing market-implied odds for a lowest temperature of 19 °C or higher to 86.5 %. Cooler outcomes below 17 °C carried low probability because no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event materialized in the final model runs before the observation window closed.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ET
Volumen
$2,928Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm air and elevated overnight humidity from thunderstorm activity kept Toronto's minimum temperature from falling sharply on August 22. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network consistently projected morning readings near 19 °C and nighttime lows of 17–21 °C under cloudy, breezy conditions, well above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 14–16 °C. Model consensus showed limited radiational cooling because of cloud cover and southerly flow, pushing market-implied odds for a lowest temperature of 19 °C or higher to 86.5 %. Cooler outcomes below 17 °C carried low probability because no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event materialized in the final model runs before the observation window closed.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,928Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 8:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Persistent warm air and elevated overnight humidity from thunderstorm activity kept Toronto's minimum temperature from falling sharply on August 22. Official forecasts from Environment Canada and The Weather Network consistently projected morning readings near 19 °C and nighttime lows of 17–21 °C under cloudy, breezy conditions, well above the late-August climatological normal of roughly 14–16 °C. Model consensus showed limited radiational cooling because of cloud cover and southerly flow, pushing market-implied odds for a lowest temperature of 19 °C or higher to 86.5 %. Cooler outcomes below 17 °C carried low probability because no cold-air intrusion or clear-sky radiative event materialized in the final model runs before the observation window closed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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