Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 33°C on August 23 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, aligning with late-summer climatology where highs average near 32°C. This consensus underpins the market’s strong preference for 34°C and 33°C outcomes, as traders weigh the potential for minor forecast revisions or localized readings to tip the official high slightly higher. Recent model runs show limited disagreement and stable conditions through the day, with no significant synoptic changes expected to alter the trajectory. Historical data reinforces that extremes beyond 35°C remain uncommon this late in the season absent anomalous heat advection.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 23 de agosto?
34°C 65%
33°C 31%
35°C 4%
32°C 3%
$22,887 Vol.
$22,887 Vol.
23 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
31%
34°C
65%
35°C
4%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 65%
33°C 31%
35°C 4%
32°C 3%
$22,887 Vol.
$22,887 Vol.
23 ago 2026
29°C or below
$1,774 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,196 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,542 Vol.
3%
33°C
$3,704 Vol.
31%
34°C
$6,653 Vol.
65%
35°C
$3,383 Vol.
4%
36°C
$1,032 Vol.
1%
37°C
$663 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$263 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 33°C on August 23 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, aligning with late-summer climatology where highs average near 32°C. This consensus underpins the market’s strong preference for 34°C and 33°C outcomes, as traders weigh the potential for minor forecast revisions or localized readings to tip the official high slightly higher. Recent model runs show limited disagreement and stable conditions through the day, with no significant synoptic changes expected to alter the trajectory. Historical data reinforces that extremes beyond 35°C remain uncommon this late in the season absent anomalous heat advection.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$22,887Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 33°C on August 23 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, aligning with late-summer climatology where highs average near 32°C. This consensus underpins the market’s strong preference for 34°C and 33°C outcomes, as traders weigh the potential for minor forecast revisions or localized readings to tip the official high slightly higher. Recent model runs show limited disagreement and stable conditions through the day, with no significant synoptic changes expected to alter the trajectory. Historical data reinforces that extremes beyond 35°C remain uncommon this late in the season absent anomalous heat advection.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$22,887Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid will reach a daily maximum near 33°C on August 23 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, aligning with late-summer climatology where highs average near 32°C. This consensus underpins the market’s strong preference for 34°C and 33°C outcomes, as traders weigh the potential for minor forecast revisions or localized readings to tip the official high slightly higher. Recent model runs show limited disagreement and stable conditions through the day, with no significant synoptic changes expected to alter the trajectory. Historical data reinforces that extremes beyond 35°C remain uncommon this late in the season absent anomalous heat advection.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes