Recent official observations and forecast model consensus from AEMET and European centers indicate Madrid’s overnight minimum will settle at 21°C under clear skies and light winds that limit mixing while enabling moderate radiative cooling over the urban heat island. This aligns with the market’s 99% implied probability on 21°C, as current surface data show temperatures stabilizing near that threshold without further nocturnal drop expected before sunrise. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include unexpected increases in low-level moisture or wind, or revised station readings falling to 20°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable high-pressure regime and minimal model spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 23 de agosto?
21°C 99%
20°C 9%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
9%
21°C
99%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99%
20°C 9%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
17°C or below
$250 Vol.
1%
18°C
$230 Vol.
1%
19°C
$440 Vol.
1%
20°C
$231 Vol.
9%
21°C
$368 Vol.
99%
22°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,156 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$616 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official observations and forecast model consensus from AEMET and European centers indicate Madrid’s overnight minimum will settle at 21°C under clear skies and light winds that limit mixing while enabling moderate radiative cooling over the urban heat island. This aligns with the market’s 99% implied probability on 21°C, as current surface data show temperatures stabilizing near that threshold without further nocturnal drop expected before sunrise. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include unexpected increases in low-level moisture or wind, or revised station readings falling to 20°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable high-pressure regime and minimal model spread.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$4,278Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official observations and forecast model consensus from AEMET and European centers indicate Madrid’s overnight minimum will settle at 21°C under clear skies and light winds that limit mixing while enabling moderate radiative cooling over the urban heat island. This aligns with the market’s 99% implied probability on 21°C, as current surface data show temperatures stabilizing near that threshold without further nocturnal drop expected before sunrise. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include unexpected increases in low-level moisture or wind, or revised station readings falling to 20°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable high-pressure regime and minimal model spread.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,278Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official observations and forecast model consensus from AEMET and European centers indicate Madrid’s overnight minimum will settle at 21°C under clear skies and light winds that limit mixing while enabling moderate radiative cooling over the urban heat island. This aligns with the market’s 99% implied probability on 21°C, as current surface data show temperatures stabilizing near that threshold without further nocturnal drop expected before sunrise. Scenarios that could challenge resolution include unexpected increases in low-level moisture or wind, or revised station readings falling to 20°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the stable high-pressure regime and minimal model spread.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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