Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Madrid on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and a modest cooling trend after mid-August warmth. This setup favors limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with dew points around 14–15°C and light winds reducing mixing. Trader consensus remains closely split between 15°C-or-below and higher thresholds because small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture—common in short-range forecasts—could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 18.6°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 25 de agosto?
25°C or higher 74%
15°C or below 35%
17°C 33%
18°C 31%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
15°C or below
35%
16°C
28%
17°C
33%
18°C
31%
19°C
18%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C
4%
23°C
14%
24°C
14%
25°C or higher
74%
25°C or higher 74%
15°C or below 35%
17°C 33%
18°C 31%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
35%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
33%
18°C
$0 Vol.
31%
19°C
$0 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$4 Vol.
8%
22°C
$14 Vol.
4%
23°C
$5 Vol.
14%
24°C
$5 Vol.
14%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Madrid on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and a modest cooling trend after mid-August warmth. This setup favors limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with dew points around 14–15°C and light winds reducing mixing. Trader consensus remains closely split between 15°C-or-below and higher thresholds because small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture—common in short-range forecasts—could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 18.6°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$33Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Madrid on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and a modest cooling trend after mid-August warmth. This setup favors limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with dew points around 14–15°C and light winds reducing mixing. Trader consensus remains closely split between 15°C-or-below and higher thresholds because small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture—common in short-range forecasts—could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 18.6°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$33Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service analogs and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature near 17–19°C in Madrid on August 25, driven by southwesterly flow, increasing cloud cover overnight, and a modest cooling trend after mid-August warmth. This setup favors limited radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies, with dew points around 14–15°C and light winds reducing mixing. Trader consensus remains closely split between 15°C-or-below and higher thresholds because small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture—common in short-range forecasts—could alter the overnight low by 1–2°C. Historical August minima average near 18.6°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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