Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models positions the overnight low in Incheon/Seoul near 25–26 °C on August 24, driving the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific high, combined with high dew points near 24–25 °C and humidities above 90 % overnight, limits radiative cooling. Mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with recent nights that have held lows in the mid-20s despite daytime highs around 32 °C. Scattered shower chances remain low (around 20 %), reducing the likelihood of significant cooling. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 26 °C slightly favored over 25 °C due to model consensus on minimal overnight decline. Updated KMA guidance or late-evening observational shifts could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 24 de agosto?
26°C 59%
25°C 38%
24°C 5%
29°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
38%
26°C
59%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 59%
25°C 38%
24°C 5%
29°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
21°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$530 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$162 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$624 Vol.
5%
25°C
$655 Vol.
38%
26°C
$3,403 Vol.
59%
27°C
$598 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$241 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$628 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$262 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models positions the overnight low in Incheon/Seoul near 25–26 °C on August 24, driving the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific high, combined with high dew points near 24–25 °C and humidities above 90 % overnight, limits radiative cooling. Mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with recent nights that have held lows in the mid-20s despite daytime highs around 32 °C. Scattered shower chances remain low (around 20 %), reducing the likelihood of significant cooling. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 26 °C slightly favored over 25 °C due to model consensus on minimal overnight decline. Updated KMA guidance or late-evening observational shifts could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$7,617Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models positions the overnight low in Incheon/Seoul near 25–26 °C on August 24, driving the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific high, combined with high dew points near 24–25 °C and humidities above 90 % overnight, limits radiative cooling. Mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with recent nights that have held lows in the mid-20s despite daytime highs around 32 °C. Scattered shower chances remain low (around 20 %), reducing the likelihood of significant cooling. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 26 °C slightly favored over 25 °C due to model consensus on minimal overnight decline. Updated KMA guidance or late-evening observational shifts could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,617Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models positions the overnight low in Incheon/Seoul near 25–26 °C on August 24, driving the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes. Persistent influence from the North Pacific high, combined with high dew points near 24–25 °C and humidities above 90 % overnight, limits radiative cooling. Mostly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds further suppress temperature drops, consistent with recent nights that have held lows in the mid-20s despite daytime highs around 32 °C. Scattered shower chances remain low (around 20 %), reducing the likelihood of significant cooling. Trader-implied odds reflect this narrow range, with 26 °C slightly favored over 25 °C due to model consensus on minimal overnight decline. Updated KMA guidance or late-evening observational shifts could refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes