Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a clear, sunny pattern over Busan on August 24 with light southwest winds and moderate humidity near 75%, supporting overnight radiative cooling that should produce a minimum in the 26–28°C range. This setup aligns with typical late-August conditions in the region, where high daytime heat (near 30°C) transitions to modest nocturnal drops limited by the urban heat island effect and proximity to the warm sea. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction create the tight clustering of market probabilities around 24–28°C, while probabilities drop sharply below 23°C absent unexpected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. Updated runs tonight will refine the exact low before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Busan el 24 de agosto?
22°C 45%
26°C 35%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
19°C o menos
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
45%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
35%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C o más
10%
22°C 45%
26°C 35%
24°C 27%
27°C 27%
19°C o menos
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
45%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
26%
26°C
35%
27°C
27%
28°C
27%
29°C o más
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from models like GFS and ECMWF indicate a clear, sunny pattern over Busan on August 24 with light southwest winds and moderate humidity near 75%, supporting overnight radiative cooling that should produce a minimum in the 26–28°C range. This setup aligns with typical late-August conditions in the region, where high daytime heat (near 30°C) transitions to modest nocturnal drops limited by the urban heat island effect and proximity to the warm sea. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction create the tight clustering of market probabilities around 24–28°C, while probabilities drop sharply below 23°C absent unexpected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. Updated runs tonight will refine the exact low before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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