Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate overnight lows near 26°C on September 1, driven by persistent humid conditions under a broad low-pressure trough and light northeast monsoon flow, with dew points remaining elevated around 24–25°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where mean minimum temperatures average 26–27°C amid typical cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear skies expected to push readings lower, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions as final observational data from the Observatory are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 1 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 1 de septiembre?
26°C 60%
25°C 11%
27°C 8.0%
24°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
21%
26°C
60%
27°C
23%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 60%
25°C 11%
27°C 8.0%
24°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
22°C or below
$796 Vol.
4%
23°C
$458 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$521 Vol.
5%
25°C
$1,496 Vol.
21%
26°C
$1,617 Vol.
60%
27°C
$2,719 Vol.
23%
28°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$400 Vol.
1%
30°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$164 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$209 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate overnight lows near 26°C on September 1, driven by persistent humid conditions under a broad low-pressure trough and light northeast monsoon flow, with dew points remaining elevated around 24–25°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where mean minimum temperatures average 26–27°C amid typical cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear skies expected to push readings lower, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions as final observational data from the Observatory are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$8,890Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate overnight lows near 26°C on September 1, driven by persistent humid conditions under a broad low-pressure trough and light northeast monsoon flow, with dew points remaining elevated around 24–25°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where mean minimum temperatures average 26–27°C amid typical cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear skies expected to push readings lower, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions as final observational data from the Observatory are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,890Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models indicate overnight lows near 26°C on September 1, driven by persistent humid conditions under a broad low-pressure trough and light northeast monsoon flow, with dew points remaining elevated around 24–25°C. This aligns with early-September climatology, where mean minimum temperatures average 26–27°C amid typical cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold advection or clear skies expected to push readings lower, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 25–26°C outcomes while leaving room for minor revisions as final observational data from the Observatory are recorded.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes