Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international guidance indicate a daytime high of 12–13°C for Wellington on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly winds, placing the outcome near the long-term early-spring average. Trader consensus favoring 14°C reflects minor upward bias in some ensemble members and historical variability in spring transition periods, while lower probabilities for 15°C or above align with limited warming potential before cooler southerly influences arrive. Stable model agreement over the past 48 hours has reinforced these implied probabilities ahead of final official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 1 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 1 de septiembre?
14°C 53%
13°C 26%
15°C 18%
12°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
26%
14°C
53%
15°C
18%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 53%
13°C 26%
15°C 18%
12°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 sep 2026
8°C or below
$266 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$314 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$180 Vol.
1%
11°C
$307 Vol.
2%
12°C
$85 Vol.
5%
13°C
$357 Vol.
26%
14°C
$352 Vol.
53%
15°C
$281 Vol.
18%
16°C
$89 Vol.
1%
17°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international guidance indicate a daytime high of 12–13°C for Wellington on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly winds, placing the outcome near the long-term early-spring average. Trader consensus favoring 14°C reflects minor upward bias in some ensemble members and historical variability in spring transition periods, while lower probabilities for 15°C or above align with limited warming potential before cooler southerly influences arrive. Stable model agreement over the past 48 hours has reinforced these implied probabilities ahead of final official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,723Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international guidance indicate a daytime high of 12–13°C for Wellington on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly winds, placing the outcome near the long-term early-spring average. Trader consensus favoring 14°C reflects minor upward bias in some ensemble members and historical variability in spring transition periods, while lower probabilities for 15°C or above align with limited warming potential before cooler southerly influences arrive. Stable model agreement over the past 48 hours has reinforced these implied probabilities ahead of final official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,723Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService-aligned models and international guidance indicate a daytime high of 12–13°C for Wellington on September 1 under mostly sunny conditions with moderate northwesterly winds, placing the outcome near the long-term early-spring average. Trader consensus favoring 14°C reflects minor upward bias in some ensemble members and historical variability in spring transition periods, while lower probabilities for 15°C or above align with limited warming potential before cooler southerly influences arrive. Stable model agreement over the past 48 hours has reinforced these implied probabilities ahead of final official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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