**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 31 project a high near 96°F under mostly sunny skies with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance, supported by a persistent subtropical ridge, light southeast winds, and elevated humidity that limits daytime mixing.** This places the day well above the 1991–2020 average high of 91.7°F while remaining below record territory. Market-implied odds concentrate on 94–95°F (58.5%) with secondary support for 96–97°F (24%), consistent with typical forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and any localized cooling from convection. Model consensus and recent observations show minimal change in steering patterns or moisture through Monday, though Gulf disturbances could increase storm coverage later in the week and slightly trim afternoon maxima. Traders appear to weigh the balance between strong insolation and modest convective potential in the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Houston el 31 de agosto?
94-95°F 59%
96-97°F 24%
92-93°F 13%
98-99°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
83°F o menos
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
13%
94-95°F
59%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
4%
100-101°F
1%
102°F o más
1%
94-95°F 59%
96-97°F 24%
92-93°F 13%
98-99°F 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
83°F o menos
$1,256 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$286 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$433 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$193 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$590 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$1,048 Vol.
13%
94-95°F
$1,298 Vol.
59%
96-97°F
$2,163 Vol.
24%
98-99°F
$360 Vol.
4%
100-101°F
$239 Vol.
1%
102°F o más
$226 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 31 project a high near 96°F under mostly sunny skies with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance, supported by a persistent subtropical ridge, light southeast winds, and elevated humidity that limits daytime mixing.** This places the day well above the 1991–2020 average high of 91.7°F while remaining below record territory. Market-implied odds concentrate on 94–95°F (58.5%) with secondary support for 96–97°F (24%), consistent with typical forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and any localized cooling from convection. Model consensus and recent observations show minimal change in steering patterns or moisture through Monday, though Gulf disturbances could increase storm coverage later in the week and slightly trim afternoon maxima. Traders appear to weigh the balance between strong insolation and modest convective potential in the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,093Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 31 project a high near 96°F under mostly sunny skies with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance, supported by a persistent subtropical ridge, light southeast winds, and elevated humidity that limits daytime mixing.** This places the day well above the 1991–2020 average high of 91.7°F while remaining below record territory. Market-implied odds concentrate on 94–95°F (58.5%) with secondary support for 96–97°F (24%), consistent with typical forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and any localized cooling from convection. Model consensus and recent observations show minimal change in steering patterns or moisture through Monday, though Gulf disturbances could increase storm coverage later in the week and slightly trim afternoon maxima. Traders appear to weigh the balance between strong insolation and modest convective potential in the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,093Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 31 project a high near 96°F under mostly sunny skies with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance, supported by a persistent subtropical ridge, light southeast winds, and elevated humidity that limits daytime mixing.** This places the day well above the 1991–2020 average high of 91.7°F while remaining below record territory. Market-implied odds concentrate on 94–95°F (58.5%) with secondary support for 96–97°F (24%), consistent with typical forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and any localized cooling from convection. Model consensus and recent observations show minimal change in steering patterns or moisture through Monday, though Gulf disturbances could increase storm coverage later in the week and slightly trim afternoon maxima. Traders appear to weigh the balance between strong insolation and modest convective potential in the final 24–48 hours before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes