A cold front advancing into São Paulo on September 1–2, 2026, is the main driver behind current trader positioning, as polar air advection behind the system sharply lowers temperatures after recent warmth. Official and model guidance points to a daily minimum near 11–13 °C on the 2nd, with clearer skies after frontal rain potentially enhancing radiational cooling overnight while southeasterly winds limit mixing. Differences among the tightly bunched 10–13 °C outcomes hinge on precise frontal timing, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture, all of which affect how far the minimum drops before sunrise. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing these variables against climatological September lows near 14–15 °C, with fresh model runs and local observations the next key inputs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 2 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Sao Paulo el 2 de septiembre?
16°C 49%
17°C 36%
18°C 36%
13°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
9°C o menos
18%
10°C
26%
11°C
26%
12°C
28%
13°C
30%
14°C
26%
15°C
25%
16°C
49%
17°C
36%
18°C
36%
19°C o más
8%
16°C 49%
17°C 36%
18°C 36%
13°C 30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
9°C o menos
$15 Vol.
18%
10°C
$0 Vol.
26%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
28%
13°C
$0 Vol.
30%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$15 Vol.
49%
17°C
$5 Vol.
36%
18°C
$5 Vol.
36%
19°C o más
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into São Paulo on September 1–2, 2026, is the main driver behind current trader positioning, as polar air advection behind the system sharply lowers temperatures after recent warmth. Official and model guidance points to a daily minimum near 11–13 °C on the 2nd, with clearer skies after frontal rain potentially enhancing radiational cooling overnight while southeasterly winds limit mixing. Differences among the tightly bunched 10–13 °C outcomes hinge on precise frontal timing, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture, all of which affect how far the minimum drops before sunrise. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing these variables against climatological September lows near 14–15 °C, with fresh model runs and local observations the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Volumen
$45Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front advancing into São Paulo on September 1–2, 2026, is the main driver behind current trader positioning, as polar air advection behind the system sharply lowers temperatures after recent warmth. Official and model guidance points to a daily minimum near 11–13 °C on the 2nd, with clearer skies after frontal rain potentially enhancing radiational cooling overnight while southeasterly winds limit mixing. Differences among the tightly bunched 10–13 °C outcomes hinge on precise frontal timing, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture, all of which affect how far the minimum drops before sunrise. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing these variables against climatological September lows near 14–15 °C, with fresh model runs and local observations the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$45Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...A cold front advancing into São Paulo on September 1–2, 2026, is the main driver behind current trader positioning, as polar air advection behind the system sharply lowers temperatures after recent warmth. Official and model guidance points to a daily minimum near 11–13 °C on the 2nd, with clearer skies after frontal rain potentially enhancing radiational cooling overnight while southeasterly winds limit mixing. Differences among the tightly bunched 10–13 °C outcomes hinge on precise frontal timing, residual cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture, all of which affect how far the minimum drops before sunrise. Market-implied odds reflect traders weighing these variables against climatological September lows near 14–15 °C, with fresh model runs and local observations the next key inputs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes