Recent official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds, and a persistent high-pressure ridge on August 31, supporting a peak temperature near 32–34°C under typical late-summer continental conditions. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5%), with secondary probability on 33°C (22.0%) reflecting slight model spread in maximum readings across the urban area. A modest chance of 35°C (16.5%) persists if afternoon heating exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the absence of cooler advection or cloud cover. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance issued over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow range without introducing significant revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 31 de agosto?
34°C 62%
33°C 21%
35°C 17%
32°C 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
21%
34°C
62%
35°C
17%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 62%
33°C 21%
35°C 17%
32°C 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 ago 2026
29°C or below
$454 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$286 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,603 Vol.
21%
34°C
$1,271 Vol.
62%
35°C
$2,220 Vol.
17%
36°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$155 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds, and a persistent high-pressure ridge on August 31, supporting a peak temperature near 32–34°C under typical late-summer continental conditions. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5%), with secondary probability on 33°C (22.0%) reflecting slight model spread in maximum readings across the urban area. A modest chance of 35°C (16.5%) persists if afternoon heating exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the absence of cooler advection or cloud cover. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance issued over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow range without introducing significant revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$7,043Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds, and a persistent high-pressure ridge on August 31, supporting a peak temperature near 32–34°C under typical late-summer continental conditions. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5%), with secondary probability on 33°C (22.0%) reflecting slight model spread in maximum readings across the urban area. A modest chance of 35°C (16.5%) persists if afternoon heating exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the absence of cooler advection or cloud cover. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance issued over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow range without introducing significant revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,043Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models indicate Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds, and a persistent high-pressure ridge on August 31, supporting a peak temperature near 32–34°C under typical late-summer continental conditions. This consensus underpins the market’s strong tilt toward 34°C (61.5%), with secondary probability on 33°C (22.0%) reflecting slight model spread in maximum readings across the urban area. A modest chance of 35°C (16.5%) persists if afternoon heating exceeds expectations, while lower outcomes remain improbable given the absence of cooler advection or cloud cover. Updated model runs and AEMET guidance issued over the past 24 hours have reinforced this narrow range without introducing significant revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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