**Current forecasts from Brazilian meteorological agencies and international models consistently project a daytime high of 30–32°C for São Paulo on August 30, 2026, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass that has elevated temperatures well above the month’s climatological average of ~24.5°C.** This setup, with light winds, high solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected through the afternoon, supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C. Model consensus and real-time observations show limited potential for outliers above 33°C or below 30°C, as the heat wave is forecast to break with incoming frontal activity and showers starting Tuesday. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow, observationally anchored range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 30 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 30 de agosto?
31°C 92%
32°C 6%
33°C 3%
34°C <1%
$47,312 Vol.
$47,312 Vol.
30 ago 2026
28°C o menos
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
92%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C o más
<1%
31°C 92%
32°C 6%
33°C 3%
34°C <1%
$47,312 Vol.
$47,312 Vol.
30 ago 2026
28°C o menos
$8,784 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,757 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$12,865 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,610 Vol.
92%
32°C
$4,542 Vol.
6%
33°C
$3,020 Vol.
3%
34°C
$2,381 Vol.
1%
35°C
$4,301 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,411 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,469 Vol.
<1%
38°C o más
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Brazilian meteorological agencies and international models consistently project a daytime high of 30–32°C for São Paulo on August 30, 2026, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass that has elevated temperatures well above the month’s climatological average of ~24.5°C.**
This setup, with light winds, high solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected through the afternoon, supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C. Model consensus and real-time observations show limited potential for outliers above 33°C or below 30°C, as the heat wave is forecast to break with incoming frontal activity and showers starting Tuesday. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow, observationally anchored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
Volumen
$47,312Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Brazilian meteorological agencies and international models consistently project a daytime high of 30–32°C for São Paulo on August 30, 2026, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass that has elevated temperatures well above the month’s climatological average of ~24.5°C.**
This setup, with light winds, high solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected through the afternoon, supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C. Model consensus and real-time observations show limited potential for outliers above 33°C or below 30°C, as the heat wave is forecast to break with incoming frontal activity and showers starting Tuesday. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow, observationally anchored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$47,312Fecha de finalización
30 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from Brazilian meteorological agencies and international models consistently project a daytime high of 30–32°C for São Paulo on August 30, 2026, driven by a persistent warm, dry air mass that has elevated temperatures well above the month’s climatological average of ~24.5°C.** This setup, with light winds, high solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation expected through the afternoon, supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C. Model consensus and real-time observations show limited potential for outliers above 33°C or below 30°C, as the heat wave is forecast to break with incoming frontal activity and showers starting Tuesday. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow, observationally anchored range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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