Recent official forecasts from Brazilian agencies like CGE/Inmet and international models (GFS/ECMWF) project a high near 32°C for São Paulo on August 31, driven by northerly flow advecting warmer air under partly cloudy skies with low humidity (~30% afternoon) and strong insolation. This exceeds typical late-August averages of 22–25°C, supporting elevated readings, though sea-breeze clouds or minor model cooling could cap peaks near or below 30°C. A sharp cold-front arrival on September 1 adds tail risk for lower values. Trader consensus (58% on ≤29°C) reflects this forecast spread and measurement criteria at official stations, with probabilities declining sharply above 32°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 31 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 31 de agosto?
29°C o menos 57%
30°C 16%
31°C 13%
32°C 9%
NUEVO
$20,457 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,457 Vol.
31 ago 2026
29°C o menos
57%
30°C
16%
31°C
13%
32°C
9%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o más
<1%
29°C o menos 57%
30°C 16%
31°C 13%
32°C 9%
NUEVO
$20,457 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,457 Vol.
31 ago 2026
29°C o menos
$7,236 Vol.
57%
30°C
$966 Vol.
16%
31°C
$952 Vol.
13%
32°C
$841 Vol.
9%
33°C
$796 Vol.
5%
34°C
$829 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,128 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$3,698 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$2,557 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$1,248 Vol.
<1%
39°C o más
$206 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Brazilian agencies like CGE/Inmet and international models (GFS/ECMWF) project a high near 32°C for São Paulo on August 31, driven by northerly flow advecting warmer air under partly cloudy skies with low humidity (~30% afternoon) and strong insolation. This exceeds typical late-August averages of 22–25°C, supporting elevated readings, though sea-breeze clouds or minor model cooling could cap peaks near or below 30°C. A sharp cold-front arrival on September 1 adds tail risk for lower values. Trader consensus (58% on ≤29°C) reflects this forecast spread and measurement criteria at official stations, with probabilities declining sharply above 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$20,457Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Brazilian agencies like CGE/Inmet and international models (GFS/ECMWF) project a high near 32°C for São Paulo on August 31, driven by northerly flow advecting warmer air under partly cloudy skies with low humidity (~30% afternoon) and strong insolation. This exceeds typical late-August averages of 22–25°C, supporting elevated readings, though sea-breeze clouds or minor model cooling could cap peaks near or below 30°C. A sharp cold-front arrival on September 1 adds tail risk for lower values. Trader consensus (58% on ≤29°C) reflects this forecast spread and measurement criteria at official stations, with probabilities declining sharply above 32°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$20,457Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Brazilian agencies like CGE/Inmet and international models (GFS/ECMWF) project a high near 32°C for São Paulo on August 31, driven by northerly flow advecting warmer air under partly cloudy skies with low humidity (~30% afternoon) and strong insolation. This exceeds typical late-August averages of 22–25°C, supporting elevated readings, though sea-breeze clouds or minor model cooling could cap peaks near or below 30°C. A sharp cold-front arrival on September 1 adds tail risk for lower values. Trader consensus (58% on ≤29°C) reflects this forecast spread and measurement criteria at official stations, with probabilities declining sharply above 32°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes