Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C as Panama City's highest temperature on September 2, driven by uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid the region's typical tropical variability. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover and convective rainfall timing, which reduce solar heating and surface temperatures by 1–2°C, alongside trade-wind strength and boundary-layer moisture from the Caribbean. September climatology features average daily highs near 31°C, but even modest shifts in model consensus on precipitation or wind can swing the peak. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify these thresholds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 2 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en la ciudad de Panamá el 2 de septiembre?
31°C 30%
32°C 28%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
30%
32°C
28%
33°C or higher
25%
31°C 30%
32°C 28%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
23°C or below
$2,280 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$25 Vol.
6%
29°C
$55 Vol.
8%
30°C
$37 Vol.
13%
31°C
$499 Vol.
30%
32°C
$75 Vol.
28%
33°C or higher
$75 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C as Panama City's highest temperature on September 2, driven by uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid the region's typical tropical variability. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover and convective rainfall timing, which reduce solar heating and surface temperatures by 1–2°C, alongside trade-wind strength and boundary-layer moisture from the Caribbean. September climatology features average daily highs near 31°C, but even modest shifts in model consensus on precipitation or wind can swing the peak. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify these thresholds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,355Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C as Panama City's highest temperature on September 2, driven by uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid the region's typical tropical variability. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover and convective rainfall timing, which reduce solar heating and surface temperatures by 1–2°C, alongside trade-wind strength and boundary-layer moisture from the Caribbean. September climatology features average daily highs near 31°C, but even modest shifts in model consensus on precipitation or wind can swing the peak. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify these thresholds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,355Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows closely matched implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C as Panama City's highest temperature on September 2, driven by uncertainty in short-range forecast models amid the region's typical tropical variability. Key differentiating factors include cloud cover and convective rainfall timing, which reduce solar heating and surface temperatures by 1–2°C, alongside trade-wind strength and boundary-layer moisture from the Caribbean. September climatology features average daily highs near 31°C, but even modest shifts in model consensus on precipitation or wind can swing the peak. New ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely clarify these thresholds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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