Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for ¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?

¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?

icon for ¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?

¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?

$1,191,775 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$1,191,775 Vol.

Polymarket

December 31

$350,557 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.**Israeli forces have maintained positions beyond the Litani River in southern Lebanon under a June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement that ties any phased redeployment to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) control.** The deal established two limited “pilot zones” (one north and one south of the river) for initial Israeli pullbacks, but implementation has stalled amid disputes over sequencing, with Israeli officials stating no further withdrawals will occur until threats are neutralized. As of early September 2026, Israel has consolidated its security zone, conducted strikes in response to Hezbollah activity, and rejected fixed timelines, while Hezbollah has rejected the framework. Trader consensus on withdrawal timelines therefore reflects the conditions-based nature of the agreement, ongoing low-level clashes, and the absence of LAF deployment or disarmament progress.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volumen
$1,191,775
Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.**Israeli forces have maintained positions beyond the Litani River in southern Lebanon under a June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement that ties any phased redeployment to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) control.** The deal established two limited “pilot zones” (one north and one south of the river) for initial Israeli pullbacks, but implementation has stalled amid disputes over sequencing, with Israeli officials stating no further withdrawals will occur until threats are neutralized. As of early September 2026, Israel has consolidated its security zone, conducted strikes in response to Hezbollah activity, and rejected fixed timelines, while Hezbollah has rejected the framework. Trader consensus on withdrawal timelines therefore reflects the conditions-based nature of the agreement, ongoing low-level clashes, and the absence of LAF deployment or disarmament progress.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volumen
$1,191,775
Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "December 31" con 17%, seguido de "15 de junio" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 17¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?" ha generado $1.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 7, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?" es "December 31" con 17%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 17% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "15 de junio" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.