Israeli forces remain positioned in southern Lebanon under a June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement that ties any further withdrawal to Hezbollah disarmament and third-party verification. Recent rounds of Rome talks have advanced “pilot zones” for Lebanese army deployment, with initial transfers occurring in July amid minor incidents of warning fire. Israeli airstrikes have continued in southern areas into mid-August despite truce extensions, reflecting enforcement of buffer zones rather than northward expansion. Diplomatic efforts center on incremental de-escalation and monitoring arrangements, while Hezbollah has rejected elements of the deal and sporadic cross-border activity persists. These dynamics keep the focus on southern security arrangements and verification timelines, with no verified advances or official signals indicating operations toward Beirut itself.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Las fuerzas israelíes entran en Beirut por...?
¿Las fuerzas israelíes entran en Beirut por...?
$137,155 Vol.
30 ago 2026
31 de agosto
3%
$137,155 Vol.
31 de agosto
$7,242 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces remain positioned in southern Lebanon under a June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement that ties any further withdrawal to Hezbollah disarmament and third-party verification. Recent rounds of Rome talks have advanced “pilot zones” for Lebanese army deployment, with initial transfers occurring in July amid minor incidents of warning fire. Israeli airstrikes have continued in southern areas into mid-August despite truce extensions, reflecting enforcement of buffer zones rather than northward expansion. Diplomatic efforts center on incremental de-escalation and monitoring arrangements, while Hezbollah has rejected elements of the deal and sporadic cross-border activity persists. These dynamics keep the focus on southern security arrangements and verification timelines, with no verified advances or official signals indicating operations toward Beirut itself.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercado abierto: Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Volumen
$137,155Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces remain positioned in southern Lebanon under a June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement that ties any further withdrawal to Hezbollah disarmament and third-party verification. Recent rounds of Rome talks have advanced “pilot zones” for Lebanese army deployment, with initial transfers occurring in July amid minor incidents of warning fire. Israeli airstrikes have continued in southern areas into mid-August despite truce extensions, reflecting enforcement of buffer zones rather than northward expansion. Diplomatic efforts center on incremental de-escalation and monitoring arrangements, while Hezbollah has rejected elements of the deal and sporadic cross-border activity persists. These dynamics keep the focus on southern security arrangements and verification timelines, with no verified advances or official signals indicating operations toward Beirut itself.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Beirut in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Beirut will count.
Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volumen
$137,155Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 31, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces remain positioned in southern Lebanon under a June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement that ties any further withdrawal to Hezbollah disarmament and third-party verification. Recent rounds of Rome talks have advanced “pilot zones” for Lebanese army deployment, with initial transfers occurring in July amid minor incidents of warning fire. Israeli airstrikes have continued in southern areas into mid-August despite truce extensions, reflecting enforcement of buffer zones rather than northward expansion. Diplomatic efforts center on incremental de-escalation and monitoring arrangements, while Hezbollah has rejected elements of the deal and sporadic cross-border activity persists. These dynamics keep the focus on southern security arrangements and verification timelines, with no verified advances or official signals indicating operations toward Beirut itself.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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