Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman’s decisive May 2026 primary win and the district’s established Republican tilt anchor trader consensus for the November general election. Northeast Indiana’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Stutzman’s 2024 performance above 65 percent and unanimous “Safe Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, have kept the Republican outcome priced near 94 percent. Fundraising and candidate quality further reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout within the resolution window could still shift probabilities, though structural factors limit realistic pathways for the Democratic nominee to close the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de IN-03
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de IN-03
$23,787 Vol.
$23,787 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Demócrata
5%
$23,787 Vol.
$23,787 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,481 Vol.
95%
Partido Demócrata
$19,306 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman’s decisive May 2026 primary win and the district’s established Republican tilt anchor trader consensus for the November general election. Northeast Indiana’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Stutzman’s 2024 performance above 65 percent and unanimous “Safe Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, have kept the Republican outcome priced near 94 percent. Fundraising and candidate quality further reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout within the resolution window could still shift probabilities, though structural factors limit realistic pathways for the Democratic nominee to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$23,787Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman’s decisive May 2026 primary win and the district’s established Republican tilt anchor trader consensus for the November general election. Northeast Indiana’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Stutzman’s 2024 performance above 65 percent and unanimous “Safe Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, have kept the Republican outcome priced near 94 percent. Fundraising and candidate quality further reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout within the resolution window could still shift probabilities, though structural factors limit realistic pathways for the Democratic nominee to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$23,787Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Marlin Stutzman’s decisive May 2026 primary win and the district’s established Republican tilt anchor trader consensus for the November general election. Northeast Indiana’s R+16 Partisan Voter Index, combined with Stutzman’s 2024 performance above 65 percent and unanimous “Safe Republican” or “Solid Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, have kept the Republican outcome priced near 94 percent. Fundraising and candidate quality further reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout within the resolution window could still shift probabilities, though structural factors limit realistic pathways for the Democratic nominee to close the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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